It's official, Fernando Cabada has volunteered himself to be the sacrificial lamb of the Marathon Trials

I'm not sure if I really like or really dislike Cabada. Love his confidence, but I feel like he's almost too confident.

does he run for reebok? thought he had a diff sponsor?

trutherer wrote:

does he run for reebok? thought he had a diff sponsor?

Newton

I doubt he holds on. If the field wants to let him go, they could.

Cabadass is just trying to convince himself. He will not lead one step after 5 miles and we all know it.

I see two realities that could happen. One will be if Cabada, Estrada, and so forth set the aggressive pace and no one goes, and other if a pack forms.

If they go they will be caught and dropped by 10 miles. Either way everyone has to make Rupp race 26.2 miles. And not a "jog fest" because Rupp will be unstoppable if it is.

AZ wrote:

I see two realities that could happen. One will be if Cabada, Estrada, and so forth set the aggressive pace and no one goes, and other if a pack forms.

Except, they have to hold it to 26.2. If they do, it will be an upset.

At the very least he makes things extremely interesting

awesome. This is going to be the best trials ever. Cabada could pull it off. He could get top 3.

Racing himself into shape was a great idea and all he needs is a good tape.

kiprop superfan wrote:

awesome. This is going to be the best trials ever. Cabada could pull it off. He could get top 3.

Racing himself into shape was a great idea and all he needs is a good tape.

I like that he wants to get after it but I predict that he'll run 2:15 and Arciniaga will be in the same ballpark maybe even slower.

I thought you were going to say he agreed to pace for Rupp.

Your post is dumb.

Shorter than Rodgers wrote:

Cabadass is just trying to convince himself. He will not lead one step after 5 miles and we all know it.

He's out there doing it. You?

I read the link and didn't get the same message as OP. Anyone else?

Not yet he's not. Simply talk. Just watch how it plays out.

AZ wrote:

I see two realities that could happen. One will be if Cabada, Estrada, and so forth set the aggressive pace and no one goes, and other if a pack forms.

If they go they will be caught and dropped by 10 miles. Either way everyone has to make Rupp race 26.2 miles. And not a "jog fest" because Rupp will be unstoppable if it is.

Why will they be caught at 10 miles? All of the top contenders can run 2:10 pace for 15 to 18 miles with hardly any effort at all. The marathon is a different animal. It feels easy, very easy in fact, until the point that it becomes hard. At that point it suddenly becomes extremely hard.

I agree entirely. This is what Cabada wrote: "Looking forward to the chance on running a super fast marathon time (2:11:36 is my PB) and a chance on making an Olympic Team." In no universe of logic of which I'm aware does this imply he plans on taking it out fast. Another Shakespearean lapse: Much Ado about Nothing.

Greg Calbert wrote:

I read the link and didn't get the same message as OP. Anyone else?

I think a lot of people believe if they run sub 2:10 they will get in. That translates to an early large pack of favorites and many dark horses mentioned here and elsewhere (Cabada, Arciniaga, Gray, Ward, Llano and others) Obviously the favorites are smart enough to know when to make a deciding move, and many of them have the relative speed/ability to do so. It's going to be interesting, and I think one of the faster OT's in recent history... Personally I'm extremely interested to see how Gray and Estrada do, I think they both have more than what it takes to duke it out in the top 5-7

I think Cabada comes from behind to make the team. This is a head fake.

Greg Calbert wrote:

I read the link and didn't get the same message as OP. Anyone else?

I agree. Was actually meaningless post that only an idiot would read something more into other than he's looking forward to running the trials. Everyone who runs has a chance at making the team, that's kind of the point of the race, it's a throw away sentence.