I predict that Solinsky will run a 3:59 mile and 8:35 3200. I think getting under 4 flat in the mile will be toughest--he has to go 9 seconds less than last year. He will have to go 15 seconds less in the 3200. Well, I think he will be awfully close to those times if he doesn't make it. I hope he does make it though.
TFN lists his mile PB as 4:11.06...probably converted from 4:09 1600m.
What difference does it make? I have a better prediction: that Solinsky won't go anywhere in the sport when it is all said and done. Unless he moves away to another country where there is better training he has no chance.
Take Ah ahdvice and quit the sport that leads to nowhere.
Chris has run the following PRs:
4:09.60 for 1600m at Wisconsin's D1 state meet on May 31, 2002. Won handily.
8:48.44 for 3200m at invite heat of the Arcadia Invitational on April 13, 2002. Won race, beating Bret Schoolmeester (now at Colorado), Billy Nelson (now at Colorado), Brett Gotcher (now at Stanford) and future teammate Bobby Lockhart (now at Wisonsin), among others.
8:59.92 for two mile at Adidas Classic on June 14. Placed second to Bobby Lockhart (now at Wisconsin) as BL used fine kick to win rematch duel. Lockhart was ill at Arcadia in the last few hours before the race. Wondering how fast these two might have run under those conditions that night.
Not sure about the 1600, but I'll say he gets to 8:44 in the 3200 this year and that's it. Obviously he is the distance class of the field this year, but that 8:48 he ran last year was by far the best of the season for him, and he's going to have to run out of his mind again if he wants to beat that time. Jeff Nelson's record is safe.
I do not see Solinsky running a sub-4:00 mile this year. He would need to be a 1:50 800m runner at worst, no matter how strong he is. However, I do think he is CAPABLE of running about an 8:40 2-mile, if the field is right.
I think this, because I have seen video of his and Ritz' sub 8:50 2-miles...and my first impressions were that Solinsky was very strong and far more within himself, while Ritz gutted out every second (no crime in that). Solinsky looked very capable of running faster that day....and now it's a year later!
If I did not know of either's accomplishments, I would have thought that Solinsky was the better HS runner, based on the films.