Too many App guys posting on this board. Hopefully, you're alums. App has won 5 straight and deserve to be respected, but this year will be no cakewalk. In fact, I think it's one of the ripest occasions for UTC, Davidson, or UNCG to finally knock them off.
App has lost a lot of depth. Word is Sam Mordecai and Mason Campbell are no longer on the team. Both of them could have been contributors. We'll see if Mike Walker turns up; I, for one, hope he does. Otherwise, App will have no seniors other than Yarchin. Soderman clearly will have to be a leader this year. Brian Graves, Mike Lilley, Burk Staub, and Will Raby should be solid. That's 5 guys, 3 of whom are sophomores. Usually App has 10 and 5 are fifth-years. Someone like James Howard-Smith, Chris Moen, Alex Taylor, or Yarchin needs to step up and round out their top 7. Unlike most years, they are in the same boat as all the other conference teams: one injury could drastically affect them.
In reference to an earlier post, Davidson returns 3 of their top 5. They lose Divinnie and Harden, but Sieracki and Bruton were not top 5 runners. The 3 that return (Hopkins, Schmitt, Pagonis) are very solid and had good track campaigns.
UTC, Davidson, and UNCG have an excellent opportunity to excel this year with several upperclassmen returning. UTC and UNCG need to put it together this year because they will lose a lot next year. UTC has Berry, Kirwa, another Kenyan, Vasquez, and whoever they can come up with as a 5th. They have several returning sophomores like Kyle McLarty or Mark Cole that could be good.
UNCG has veteran 4 scorers back: Joey T, Koech, Andy Clyne, and Savoia. They also have Ben Vasquez who bombed conference last year (had he not they would have been 2nd), and hopefully a healthy Jermaine Coore who was all-conference 2 years ago.
Furman has McGoogan and Gilmer back, as well as 10K surprise Jay Miller, but I don't see the rest of their guys being able to hang with them. Western likewise lacks the depth. Elon showed promise last year, and it will be interesting to see if they can improve. C of C is getting better.
Predictions:
1. UTC
2. UNCG
3. App
4. Davidson
5. Furman
6. Elon
7. C of C
8. Western