Nicky for the win.
2:08:58 is my prediction for Nick this weekend in San Diego. He ran 2:13 last November on a difficult New York course. I believe that was worth about a 2:11 on an easier course. He has now moved to Flagstaff and has the benefits of altitude training which I believe is worth another minute or 2, and puts him in the 2:O9 range. Plus Nick seems to improve everytime out which is worth another 30 seconds or so. I believe he will be the next great American marathoner.