In a 20 mph wind, a high school runner runs an 800 double of 2:02 and 2:03 with a 1 hour rest, then runs a 56 400m. He has PR's of 52.5 for 400m, and 1:58 for 800m from one year ago. Those of you who have run in the low 4:10's, what do you think he might run?