geb and bekele running dubai marathon tomorrow prediction

my prediction is geb with 2:03:43

my prediction is geb with 2:03:43

BEKELE IS RUNNING A MARATHON???????

what??? wrote:

BEKELE IS RUNNING A MARATHON???????

absolutely thats why i wrote go bezunesh.

ok, you scared me there.

Doug

Bizu Bekele .. aka China is a monster. she PB'd big time this year and ran 68 for the half marathon. I am friends with some of her friends and they all say that she is one tough little bugger in training.

39 KG's she is under 90 pounds.

But i also think that askale megarsa is out there to surprise everyone. anyone who debuts at 2:24.. will be a huge star.

I expect her to make an olympic team.. Bizu needs to step down to the 10k.. she can make that team.

i wish bezunesh the best and if you see her tell her douglas burke said hello, and i hope she got what was sent to her on time. and i will wear the ethiopian uniform she sent me and go to an ethiopian restaurant tommorrow to wish her good luck.

2:03:43 that sounds right

Just plain foolish. He will run 2:07:14

What did you predict for him in Berlin? I say 2:04:36, not quite but a superb effort. The million dollars stays safe.

The course does look to be VERY VERY FAST. Completely flast, and only one turn from 5km to 35km, and that's the 180-degree turn around at half-way.

It is scheduled to be 60 degrees farenheit during the race, with a light wind out of the east at 9mph. SLIGHTLY on the warm side.

I am beginning to think that this could happen. I'll give him a 50/50 chance to break the WR at this point.

Race begins at 7am local time, or in about 4 hours.

Do a little research, guys!!

Look at the course map on the Dubai marathon site. VERY fast. Very few turns and completely flat.

Weather right now is near-perfect at 60 degrees.

Right now it's all about the pacing. If they give him a perfect 1:02:15, evenly paced, I say he gets it.

My prediction 2:04:17.

Jason

MAYEROFF wrote:

I'll give him a 50/50 chance to break the WR at this point.

Race begins at 7am local time, or in about 4 hours.

I give him a 5% chance of breaking the record. I give him a 45% chance of not finishing. I give him a 25 percent chance of running slower than 2:06:30

The way I see it wrote:

MAYEROFF wrote:

I'll give him a 50/50 chance to break the WR at this point.

Race begins at 7am local time, or in about 4 hours.

I give him a 5% chance of breaking the record. I give him a 45% chance of not finishing. I give him a 25 percent chance of running slower than 2:06:30

You're an idiot.

2:03:57, with a huge grin and a hard kick to go under 2:04

martin fagan is running the race tomorrow looking for the olympic standard of 2:15, after his plans to run the houston marathon were thrown off course due to customs. will he get it? hope he does.

lila wrote:

after his plans to run the houston marathon were thrown off course due to customs.

Customs? You mean immigration?

What I see with Geb is that he still hasn't pushed himself to the breaking point effort-wise in the marathon, on a good day. You look at Salazar's 1981 NYC finish, and he was DYING t the end.....same with Boston 82. If Geb ever pushed himself to that sort of self-imposed pain----why wouldn't he go under 2:04, or even 2:03 on an ideal day? In all his great, fast races---he's finished smiling and relatively fresh....what sort of times could we expect if the man made himself really hurt?

I think Geb can push himself to the limit and still cross the finish line smiling, as long as he has at least a 10-meter gap on his closest competitor.