He dropped a 9.81 into a headwind today and likely isn't even in peak form yet. In Paris he'll probably go 9.68-9.72 since he'll be peaking and will probably have some wind at his back. Nobody's beating that imo. He hasn't lost a 200m in like 3 years so I doubt anyone beats him in that either. What do you guys think?
lyles lock wrote:
He dropped a 9.81 into a headwind today and likely isn't even in peak form yet. In Paris he'll probably go 9.68-9.72 since he'll be peaking and will probably have some wind at his back. Nobody's beating that imo. He hasn't lost a 200m in like 3 years so I doubt anyone beats him in that either. What do you guys think?
He will never run faster than 9.75 and the best he will get in Paris is Silver in the 100m.
He is a lock for 200m gold and can break his PR in Paris.
All this talk about Kishane, but Oblique flying under the radar a little bit after his consistency over the past two years. I think one of those two Jamaicans grab gold.
No. Though Lyles could well win both the 100m and 200, the 100m is open based on times. Kung fu kenny is also a threat in both races.
lyles lock wrote:
He dropped a 9.81 into a headwind today and likely isn't even in peak form yet. In Paris he'll probably go 9.68-9.72 since he'll be peaking and will probably have some wind at his back. Nobody's beating that imo. He hasn't lost a 200m in like 3 years so I doubt anyone beats him in that either. What do you guys think?
There are no locks in the M100. It's wide open. Such a long time since I can look forward to the Olympic sprints once again.
No.
However, he's the heavy favourite in the 200m. The 100m is still a toss-up between a few guys, including Lyles.
A VERY respected analyst has guaranteed Noah Lyles will not be winning gold in any Olympic event.
Before his hot streak, the concern was his start. can be not as smooth. but, I think he's worked on that.
Don't count out Fred.
lyles lock wrote:
He dropped a 9.81 into a headwind today and likely isn't even in peak form yet. In Paris he'll probably go 9.68-9.72 since he'll be peaking and will probably have some wind at his back. Nobody's beating that imo. He hasn't lost a 200m in like 3 years so I doubt anyone beats him in that either. What do you guys think?
That statement may be true and may just as likely be false. He may already be at his peak. We won't know until then. But it is doubtful he will gain significant time in 13 days.
There are at least 5-7 guys who could win the 100m and it wouldn't be an upset. And maybe another 5 beyond that who could pull the upset, with the right breaks.
Dudes had better be on their game in the semis because the margin for error is so small just to get into the final. There is no lock in the 100m.
Noah is about as close to a lock as possible in the 200m though. He's the only one in the field with a legit chance of setting a new WR there. Nobody's going sub 9.70 in the 100m.
right, cuz he can just go from 9.81 to 9.68 in one competition. 9.86 PB like 3 years ago, then 9.83 last year, 9.81 this year, and all of a sudden he just hits a 9.68? really?
Yes, it was into a headwind, and he looked good, but so was Bolts 19.19. He never got close to that again. I think his peak with tailwind is around 9.75, but sub 9.70? Come on. 200 to me is a lock. Yes, anything CAN happen in the 100, and I am against Lyles, but I just feel like hes gonna get the gold and theres nothing we can do about it.