Analysis of FanDuel's odds for Men's 100m Final

Kerley at +1600 is printing money. Dude will be a DEMON in Paris. Wait on it

Right, I think it will take a 9.7s equivalent race to win, and only Thompson and Kerley have proven to be able to run that outside of Kenya.

Never gambled on track before but I want to this upcoming Olympics. I'm in the US. Do any of the platforms have "better" options than others? Or is it all just, "Who will win gold?"

Is BoDog giving odds? Is this the only place to bet on track? I’m not all that familiar with FanDual.

I often wonder why not more smart people exploit small differences in odds across platforms and make a lot of money hedging small % differences.

anyway, if I was forced to put money down here I would probably bet on Seville at 6-1.

Lyles is a weak favourite in my opinion and can get beat by lots of these guys. Thompson is a total wildcard. Who knows if he shows up and runs 9.6 or gets injured or busted for drugs.

Kerely is all talk - bet he doesn’t even final - kungfoo Kenny has him well covered

Any thoughts on Jacobs at 23-1? He wasn't on anyone's radar before last Olympics and won. Is he ready to peak when it counts again?

Everything indicates he is on an upward trend this season and may stun the world again. Very hard to be a repeat champ but he appears to have his...cycle...correct. The nice thing about +2300 is you don't have to risk very much to take away some big bucks.

other markets listed or only 100m? Betonline was spreading 100m for awhile but not currently listed.

i took a few weeks ago right after the 9.9 or w/e at +2000 or so

Bromell was favored, and by considerably more than Lyles' current number. Bromell was quoted at +110 or thereabouts, depending where you shopped.

I saved some links from that year. One of them still includes the numbers. Cheriuyot was -140 in the 1500 to +225 for Jakob. Vetter was the big flop at -650 in the javelin. Jacobs +2500 was dismissed with odds very similar to his current number:

I did that for decades in Las Vegas, specifically between 1984 and 2008. Lots of us did it. It was like glorified theft.

Every sportsbook had its own independent numbers and they didn't communicate with each other. That's why it was such a goldmine in the early years. I could watch a college basketball line or NBA total move sharply at Caesar's Palace in mid afternoon and then dash to my little Datsun in the back parking lot and zip down Industrial Road to the King 8 or wherever else I knew to go. I'd walk in there calmly and know darn well they'd still be sitting at +6.5 even though the big joints had been hammered down to +4.

And so forth. Day after day year after year. All you needed was energy and awareness. Some joints were typically high on favorites while others shaded toward the underdogs. You got to know the personality of each sportsbook. That played a major role every day. It was easy to gauge what number you might find in each spot.

Plus you needed trusted friends who were doing the same thing. They might tip you off to a number or prop that they weren't interested in. You would do the same for them. Sometimes we'd split wagers and settle up later.

Picking winners was a luxury but not imperative. It was all math...volume and an edge. Friends from out of town would be in denial because when they came to town it was the lazy process of settling into one sportsbook and solely wagering on whatever numbers were on their board.

The early to mid '90s were the heyday because lots of shady former bookmakers were in charge of the sportsbooks. Then it all began to fall apart late that decade when there began to be greater coordination between sportsbooks. They had computer screens that enabled them to see numbers everywhere in town. They started moving their numbers without a bet..."on air"

The IRS got involved. You could no longer wager any amount as long as it was chips or winning tickets. The limit was $10,000 per day in each spot before being forced to show ID and be written up.

That was annoying as hell. But the ruination was years later when MGM and Harrah's started buying up half the town apiece. Instead of 60 independent sets of numbers all of a sudden you had nothing but satellite books all over the place. What a joke. Maybe 12-15 tops. Many of my friends smartly left town. I hung around a few years too many.

Bovada gives Lyles +125 and Kishane +250

Updated odds from fanduel:

Kishane Thompson +130

Noah Lyles +165

Oblique Seville +650

Letsile Tebogo +1000

Fred Kerley +1800

Marcell Jacobs +2300

Akani Simbine +2500

Omanyala +2900

Ackeem Blake +3100

Bednarek +3800

Hughes +4600

Thompson now the favorite, but not far ahead of Lyles, who are both far ahead of anyone else. Fred still sitting at +1800 looks like a play, and Bednarek being totally disrespected. +3800 for Bednarek, behind Simbine and Jacobs, I think is a must play.

Also, the only events closer in odds for the top 2 are in men's triple jump (Pichardo v Diaz) and women's 200m (Jackson v. Thomas). Lots of events not yet posted.

For minor sports like track there's much more of a way to value bet - I saw (I think) fan duel and bovada having +160 / +170 for Lyles / Thompson vs +125 / +250 at the same time

I've said it before and I'll say it again... if LR could figure a way to harness the interest (and cash) in gambling on track/cross country races, they could make a mint and ditch all the super annoying ads.

Win-win-win.

I wanna put 500 down for kerley and kung fu kenny

500 dollar bet for kenny gets you 19k!

You actually think Kenny B can win? When has he ever beat all the top guys? I'd say betting on him to medal is a much better bet that will pay decently.