While she is obviously in if she finishes top 3 in the 10,000 trials and gets the standard of 30:40, there are also a few other scenarios where she might get in. Currently the bubble based on world rankings is 1236pts (Haruka KOKAI). Her 30:50 performance at Bryan Clay was worth 1221. So she needs 1251 pts from the trials.
- If she finishes 3rd she'd need 30:51, (1201 pts + 50 bonus for 3rd)
- If she finishes 2nd she'd need a 31:02, (1191 pts + 60 bonus for 2nd)
- If she wins, she'd need a 31:13 (1181 pts + 70 bonus for 1st)
I'd expect her to try to run 74 second laps. That puts her on 30:50 pace.