Jacob not secured a spot in Olympics at 5000

There of course is limited countries that not yet have three people below 13:05, but seems like CAN, ESP, NET, BEL, GER are amongst then

That seems like unnecessary risk?

The Canadian 5000m championships already happened. It was won in 13:10.99 by Moh Ahmed, Thomas Fafard got 2nd in 13:18.82 and 3rd was Ben Flanagan in 13:29.42.

Also been trying to figure this stuff out. I see 36 guys with both the standard and top 3 in their respective countries, however that does not mean all 36 will run in the Olympics. Some will get injured, some will run other events, some might get knocked out of their country's championship, etc. For example, Nico Young (scratched at USAs) and Geordie Beamish (undoubtedly focusing on steeple) are included among those 36, but won't be running the 5000 in the Olympics.

Jakob is the next guy in on world ranking, so I highly doubt he has anything to worry about. If I'm understanding correctly, I believe that means every single participant other than himself would have to hit the standard in order to leave him out.

I don't know full Olympic trials schedules (and I don't know why it is so hard to find any trials for most countries if they have them), but I just went down the list to see if I could find 6 potential people who could bump him off in the next two days if they have a race and hit the standard. I also don't even know if any of these people are running. Just purely on theoretical chances.

Australia has 2 people qualified. Rayner and Robinson are both technically fast enough to pass 13:05.

Beligium has 2. Hendrix would have to PB by 10 seconds to make it as their 3rd spot.

Burundi has 1. Ndikumana would need to PB by 7 seconds to make it as their 2nd spot.

Canada has 2. Fafard is fast enough to make the standard easily as their 3rd spot

Eritrea has 1. Seare is fast enough to make the standard as their 2nd spot. Habtom Samuel is also there, but I think he's just going to stick with the 10K.

Germany has 0. Thorwirth has a 13:10 on record so he could maybe get the standard.

Norway has 0. Nordas could get the standard and help bump Jakob off but his form isn't good enough right now.

Netherlands has 1. Abdi Ali needs to PB by 10 seconds to make it as their 2nd spot.

Serbia has 0. Bibic needs to PB by 10 seconds to make it as their 1st spot.

Spain has 1. They have 3 runners all within 10 seconds of the standard.

Switzerland has 1. Raess needs to PB by 10 seconds to make it as their 2nd spot.

Uruguay has 0. Catrofe is 1 second off the standard and is very fit given his recent results.

So overall there are certainly enough people that could do it. But most of theme need to run 5-10 second PB's to make the standard, and all of it would have to happen in the next 2 days.

Thierry Ndikumwenayo won the Spanish national title in 13:20.81. Adel Mechaal 2nd in 13:24.52 and 3rd Eduardo Menacho in 13:37.45

He's fine. The qualification period ends this week. He will get in on world ranking.

Heh.

I thought that was Kerr.

Crazy that only 6 guys are getting on points presently. Fafard’s (who is the 5th guy on points) score goes up 8 points due to his silver at Canadian Champs.

Kifle actually ran a 13:05.00!!! one week ago to get in with standard.

However, it’s very doubtful that 6 guys from smaller countries will run sub 13:05 in the next couple of days, so Jakob is safe. Fafard, not so much.

Good to know - what a scandal it would have been if he didn’t qualify !!

Is Kerr running the 5000?

Not unless the IOC postpones it until late February / early March next year.

No matter the outcome we all know his season is effectively over when the 1500m final is done.

Jakob made a late entry to run the 5000m today 13:45 CET!