Good but not top 5 recruit with strong academics: top D3 or possibly be swallowed up in D1?

Coaches will hear a bunch of blah, blah, blah. Everyone projects theor times and test scores. What are his real times amd scores? That is all that matters. Your ideas about scholarships and NIL deals are way out there.

IDK about the NIL aspect, but if your guy is what you say, tell him to check out Colorado Mines. Good D2 program, good academics, sick place to live.

Meh, projecting your possible junior year times after a (presumably) good sophomore season is different than a senior saying that he thinks he could run after a subpar junior year

And as to scores, if your siblings have scored highly, I think it's pretty safe to project a high score as well. It's not a perfect comparison, but does it shock you that Jakob was expected to run fast because of the success of Henrik and Filip?

College coaches aren't looking at a sibling of a 9:15 sophomore to see how fast they will be.

This potential 8:55 equates to a 14:20-30, depending on your calculator. 8 guys in D3 ran in the 13:50s this spring. You're assuming a steady, sizeable progression that few achieve, and your conviction that an unheralded 10th grader will not only waltz into UChicago/MIT, but certainly capture NCAA titles as an underclassman is frankly disrespectful.

Best of luck on the Tik Toks.

Any school with a decent team (MIT, CMU, WashU, etc.) would mock that kid for being the me-first tryhard that he so obviously is.

You realize the D3 schools you mentioned cost 90k per year and don't have academic scholarships, right?

If he runs 8:55 he can get big scholarship offers D1. He'd save at least 75k PER YEAR in tuition by going D1. You aren't making 75k per year with 50k instagram followers LMFAO.

Relax about hyping projected stats that are not as impressive as you think.

Being a recruited athlete or coming from a diverse zip code counts as a boost to applications to some of these places. Scoring 36 is nowhere close to a guarantee these places. They average perfect scores in more selective measures than the ACT.

8:55 is 4:27.5 per 1600 which is 13:55 5000m pace with 'infinite' endurance (i.e. no slowdown as distance increases). I think 8:55 means you should be able to split 3200 in 9:15 at the VERY worst (4:37 / 1600) and cut down a bit from there - or a slight pickup and a fast last lap; different people run better times with a very strong close or a drawn out windup - even as a high schooler. But getting into a fast 5000 as a HS'er not from the Boston area for indoors will be more difficult than going into a fast 3200 at Arcadia. Still, I think under 14:25 would be reasonable which would be probably the best HS'er ever to go into D3

Obviously college people are going to be slightly more developed, but most people I knew who ran 8:25 (3000) could run under 14:30, the only exception being a low 4:0x miler who ran in the 8:10s and then fell off even more in the 5000

I agree, but who truly lets that show during a visit?

I've seen teams become better because top individuals train even more, focusing on their own performance. Most people I've seen are at least slightly incentivized to catch up which makes a team better. And even if they don't, what D3 college is going to care their sub 4 (assuming he'd progress to the top of d3 history - yes, a big assumption) miler has an ego?

Not to Stanford. Not to Duke.

And looking at a quick google search, 50k instagram followers can charge up to $8000 per post. You do the math. Then add a TikTok and it's similar.

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When your cousin graduates in 2026, the NCAA D1 landscape will be vastly different than it is now due to compensation of student-athletes. There will be fewer men's track and XC programs and fewer roster spots on the remaining teams. Track coaches are also going to favor athletes that can compete in multiple events within the same meet. That means a 400/800 runner that can also run on the 4 x 400 is more valuable than a 1500, Steeple, or 5000 guy that can only race effectively once per day. If you have to pay them, then they need to score points in multiple events. Recruiting is going to get very cutthroat in the coming years and scholarship/roster spot standards will get insane. Walking on will become a relic of a bygone era.

D3 may not change much. That also means no athletic aid given and NIL opportunities don't really exist at this level. It barely gets local coverage and most fans only care about D1. The social media stuff is overblown. If he's not an NXN champ with a cool personality or a cute and scantily clad girl, then he does not have much market value.

Your cousin needs to just plug away and develop his running abilities. When the time comes, he needs to be very strategic and realistic when contacting coaches. I wish it were different but in this new age, getting a distance running scholarship just became 3x harder than it already was.

can confirm as somebody who goes to one of these schools that we would bully him