Per splits shows kerr at 1200 at 2.50.7. That means he ran his last 409 in 54.6, so ~ 53.3 for his last lap. Closing at this space in a fast race makes it very hard for anyone to beat him. Would also argue this shows with a quicker 1200 - he could go faster. What a run!
Yes that is correct calculation. Very good closing speed from him and Jakob. Buckle up for Paris. Hopefully the Goose and Wightman can be a bit closer next time. Weren't up to it today.
Per splits shows kerr at 1200 at 2.50.7. That means he ran his last 409 in 54.6, so ~ 53.3 for his last lap. Closing at this space in a fast race makes it very hard for anyone to beat him. Would also argue this shows with a quicker 1200 - he could go faster. What a run!
53.4/400 was the exact average pace for the last 409. It was run very steadily too. Kerr has a very good sustained long kick. Jakob will want to make the race even faster and build a gap when in better fitness.
Per splits shows kerr at 1200 at 2.50.7. That means he ran his last 409 in 54.6, so ~ 53.3 for his last lap. Closing at this space in a fast race makes it very hard for anyone to beat him. Would also argue this shows with a quicker 1200 - he could go faster. What a run!
53.4/400 was the exact average pace for the last 409. It was run very steadily too. Kerr has a very good sustained long kick. Jakob will want to make the race even faster and build a gap when in better fitness.
Your last sentence captures the essence of what we will see in Paris.
How fast will Jakob go? If he does push it, will Kerr still try to pass him again?
Jakob is likely the better athlete, but I feel like Kerr has claim to being the better racer (at present).
Even though I live in America I’m rooting for Jakob first. Also this Kerr guy he gives a liberal, pretentious, douchy, entitled vibe.
His running seems to be going OK, but he needs a makeover. I would like him to swap out the Oakleys for a novelty pair of sunglasses, like hearts or something.
Yes that is correct calculation. Very good closing speed from him and Jakob. Buckle up for Paris. Hopefully the Goose and Wightman can be a bit closer next time. Weren't up to it today.
Josh is more fit than Jakob right now. The question is, will Josh be able to maintain this fitness for another 6 weeks or so, and how much more fit will Jakob be in 6 weeks. I believe Jakob's ceiling is higher than Josh's and he'll win gold in Paris.
I think Jakob will win in Paris, but I think he needs to keep the foot on the gas in the 3rd lap. Even if it means the first lap isn’t super quick.
Really like both these guys though.
+1
I don´t understand the need so many posters have for downgrading or even making some very malicious personal attacks on runners who challenges their favorites.
I personally like and respect most of the athletes and certainly don´t hate anyone.
I think it is wellknown that I am positive on Jakob but I am not uncritical. I don´t like showboating or celebration before crossing the finish line. But he is a great runner.
And so is Kerr who has had a very positive development over the last year.
It would be interesting if they both could come close to the 1500m and the mile WR.
Even though I live in America I’m rooting for Jakob first. Also this Kerr guy he gives a liberal, pretentious, douchy, entitled vibe.
His running seems to be going OK, but he needs a makeover. I would like him to swap out the Oakleys for a novelty pair of sunglasses, like hearts or something.
What about a pair of the sunglasses that you see at a Vegas Bachelor-et party sunglasses that are the shape of a Pen15!!!
I got Jakob at 53.3 for the final lap, and Kerr at 53.2. Really fast for both of them. When Jakob ran 3:43.73 last year his final lap was approximately 54.7. With mile races, you often get the runners splits at 1200m, and not 1209m, which means you'll get their last 409m and often not the last 400m. A bit annoying.
Kerr's final 109m were covered in 14.42, Jakob's in 14.49, and Nuguse's in 14.71. (Their 1500m splits were 3:30.92, 3:31.11, and 3:31.51) Really fast. In Eugene last year, Jakob's last 109m were covered in 14.97, and Nuguse's final 109m were covered in 14.87.
I wonder what Kerr (in his current shape) could've done in the last year's mile at the Prefontaine Classic.
I got Jakob at 53.3 for the final lap, and Kerr at 53.2. Really fast for both of them. When Jakob ran 3:43.73 last year his final lap was approximately 54.7. With mile races, you often get the runners splits at 1200m, and not 1209m, which means you'll get their last 409m and often not the last 400m. A bit annoying.
Kerr's final 109m were covered in 14.42, Jakob's in 14.49, and Nuguse's in 14.71. (Their 1500m splits were 3:30.92, 3:31.11, and 3:31.51) Really fast. In Eugene last year, Jakob's last 109m were covered in 14.97, and Nuguse's final 109m were covered in 14.87.
I wonder what Kerr (in his current shape) could've done in the last year's mile at the Prefontaine Classic.
Great post. I’m guessing 3:44 for current Kerr in last year’s race. It’s hard to imagine him losing to Nuguse, but I see that 3:43 as a one-in-a-million day for him, similar to how Ngeny’s was. In other words, I don’t expect him to ever have another 1500/mile performance on that level.
Josh and Jakob were super impressive yesterday, but I don’t think either one can run 3:43 in current shape. Jakob looked pretty well maxed out and Josh probably had 1 second to give with better pacing and someone to drag him. Their last lap being so fast is largely the product of the previous lap being so slow (57) and the 1200 being fairly pedestrian (only 3:32 pace). Had the 1200 split been 2:47 like last year, I think Josh would’ve run 3:44 and Jakob 3:45.
That wasn't the biggest race. Maybe to a handful of mid and long distance runners but the majority of the fans would rather see sprinters. It's been that way for decades.
Per splits shows kerr at 1200 at 2.50.7. That means he ran his last 409 in 54.6, so ~ 53.3 for his last lap. Closing at this space in a fast race makes it very hard for anyone to beat him. Would also argue this shows with a quicker 1200 - he could go faster. What a run!
So.... even if you give only a super conservative 2 seconds in the mile for super shoe conversion, it means Cram ran a superior race with an equal or faster last lap [ if you give him a half second over 400 m for the inferior shoe] than Kerr and Jakob and he did it nearly 40 years ago!