Noah and his coach Lance Brauman were the guests on the podcast this week. I talked to them in Florida last week after they invited some media down to watch them do a day of training. I'm putting it up on the homepage now and as I was thinking of a title, it got me thinking about how Noah's 2024 campaign would end up.
Indoors went better than I think just about anyone expected with Noah lowering his 60m pb from 6.51 to 6.43 and winning world indoor silver.
But what does that equate to outdoors? Noah thought it might mean as fast as 19.10 in the 200m, and Lance said it could mean 19.12 or 19.15 for 200m, but both of them were adamant the focus is on gold medals not the WR.
So let's hear it.
How many gold medals does Noah Lyles end up with and what will his PBs be at the end of season?
tldr: 3 golds, 100, 200, 4x1 9.79, 19.25.
Reasoning:
Pretty sure Vegas would tip him as favorite right now for 3 Golds: 100m, 200m, 4x100m
Don't see how he's one of America's four best 400m runners by end of season but I'm not ruling it out.
Rojo is on the record with his crazy prediction last year that Noah won't win an individual Olympic gold medal. Got to not be feeling good about that prediction now.
I was going to say Letsile Tebogo (silver in 100m last year, bronze in 200) is his biggest threat in both events as he's so young, but the crazy thing is Erriyon Knighton is nearly 9 months younger than Tebogo. So not a lot of room for error in either event.
I think if Lyles does go home with no golds, he's likely beaten by Tebogo in both events instead of beaten by 2 different people. But also with the way US sprinting is there is no guarantee Lyles makes the 100m team. Coach Lance was very focused that Noah needs to make it to Paris first.
As for times, I hadn't really contemplated Bolt's 200m WR going down, but after I heard his coach mention 19.12 or 19.15 with his improved start I started contemplating it. Counter argument would be Lyles was slower at 200 in 2023 than he was 2022.
Right now I'll go with 9.79, 19.25.