I recognize that her "mentors" have been highly manipulative. I made plenty of poor life decisions at an age more advanced than hers. It's not even simply the decisions and their results, but how she went about it. She had committed to CU and backed out essentially at 11:59 p.m., right when the semester started. Layer-on how she chose to put herself into something that she really had no business being in and kept squarely stepping in the dog doo. To many, this is probably indicative of her future decision making. Sure, she's running great and if she went pro tomorrow she might get a good offer from a good group that could give her an escape from that mistake. I wouldn't trust her, though, not without a lot of intensive therapy. I'd expect her to fall off a cliff, psychologically and in terms of performance, rather than really thrive and progress consistently.