He might have a shot at Geoff Mutai’s Boston CR on the right day. Probably not G. Mutai’s NYCM record though. I say go for Boston. It’s sooner on the calendar and has more history. NYCM usually had better field though, so would be nice to see him do both.
He might have a shot at Geoff Mutai’s Boston CR on the right day. Probably not G. Mutai’s NYCM record though. I say go for Boston. It’s sooner on the calendar and has more history. NYCM usually had better field though, so would be nice to see him do both.
I don't understand this take. G Mutai's Boston CR came as a result of one of the strongest marathoners of all time taking advantage of once-in-a-century meteorological conditions on an otherwise slow course. G Mutai's NYC CR is more simply one of the strongest performances in marathon running ever by one of the strongest marathoners ever.
What I mean is, there is every indication that Eliud can best Mutai's mark in NYC, potentially by up to a minute or so (consider how much faster Eliud has run in Berlin than Mutai ever did - nearly three minutes, I think, although Mutai's run in Berlin doesn't represent the pinnacle of his abilities like NYC. But three minutes is a lot...). Whereas in Boston, Eliud is completely at the mercy of the in general uncooperative weather. Outside of 2011, the Boston CR would be 2:05:52. Eliud is certainly capable of that, but again 2:03:02 represents something tailwind-aided, although Eliud might still have a go at it on a good enough weather day...
For more reference, Desisa (2:05:59), Kitata (2:06:01), and Kamworor (2:06:26) all ran fast over NYC in 2018. Sure, outside of these two races (2011 and 2018) the fastest performance in NYC would be 2:07:43. But we know Eliud is far superior, often to the tune of several minutes, than everyone in that trio. So 2:04 in nyc for Eliud seems completely reasonable.
The only real recent data point we have for Boston is Evans Chebet's 2:06:51 win. He certainly ran that with a supreme negative split suggesting something much faster was possible, but it's still nearly 4 minutes from Mutai's run... And Chebet is a 2:03:00 performer in Valencia, so Eliud isn't *that* far ahead of him. Actually as I put two-and-two together writing this, Eliud's chances at 2:03:02 in Boston seem better than I initially thought (meaning, nonzero). But still, 2:05:06 in NYC seems the far more likely and achievable of the two.
The post is literally about the Knicks vs the Celtics game he is at. He is even holding up Celtics and Knicks hats in the picture.
Yes but he's also playing to the question he knows people are wondering about - will he run NYC or Boston in the next year or two? He knows what he's doing