My money is on London in April/Berlin in October for 2023. And why not? He’s in the best shape of his life, I bet he wants to lower his course record in London, then go sub 2:01 in Berlin. He loves these two marathons, and even more, he loves to run fast (don’t we all).
2024 will treat us to another gold medal in Paris in the summer, then….since it will be a short turnaround, and thus he would not likely be able to lower his WR in Berlin again, he’ll do NYC in November.
I say 2:01:50 in London, 2:00:50 in Berlin, gold in Paris (time, who the heck knows), then the course record FTW in NYC in 2:04:10.
…then Boston in April 2025.