Yes. During this past Berlin marathon he ran a 2:36 (4:11 mile pace) split during for the 22nd km. And then an other 2:37 (4:13 mile pace) for the 39th km.
He would not even need 10 weeks of specific training.
Yes. During this past Berlin marathon he ran a 2:36 (4:11 mile pace) split during for the 22nd km. And then an other 2:37 (4:13 mile pace) for the 39th km.
He would not even need 10 weeks of specific training.
I highly doubt that those splits were accurate given that his fastest 5k split was 14:09 (a 250/k average).
However I do think he could break 4 with pretty minimal specific training
It's an interesting question. My guess is yes... But, I could be wrong. It's easy to assume he could just crank out a mile at 35-40 seconds faster but he's highly trained to a specific pace range and there's probably not much gap between his max 5k effort and his marathon. That's my guess. I think he could do it, but maybe not.
Yes. During this past Berlin marathon he ran a 2:36 (4:11 mile pace) split during for the 22nd km. And then an other 2:37 (4:13 mile pace) for the 39th km.
He would not even need 10 weeks of specific training.
I highly doubt that those splits were accurate given that his fastest 5k split was 14:09 (a 250/k average).
However I do think he could break 4 with pretty minimal specific training
The key to Kipchoge's success is that he sticks to his routine and doesn't chase gimmicky goals that would get him injured and do nothing for his legacy.
The difference between 2:37 and 3:12 in consecutive km's at 39/40k suggests that the kilometer mark between them was in the wrong place, the first too short, the second too slow.
Same with the 22nd kilometer, listed as 2:36. The k's around there are about 2:50-52. It is listed as 16s from the 21st kilometer to the half. If you add that 16s to 2:36 (22nd k), you get 2:52, which is right on par with the other k's around that.
idk Nick Willis has trained for the mile specifically for the past 20 years and this year it took him a few tries to just barely dip under. And that was with him running 3:35 just 5 months prior. Kipchoge's endurance is undoubtedly otherworldly, but when was the last time he even touched something close to 4:00 pace? He's been in full on marathon training for a decade now, and I'd be surprised if he's done anything more than strides at 4:00 pace in that time.
How many people have run sub-4 past the age of 35 after completing a marathon? Any? Kipchoge is certainly a different beast, but if Nick Willis (rightful 2008 Olympic Champ peace be upon him) is struggling to do it a few months after a 3:35, it makes me a bit skeptical that Kipchoge could just drop down and after 10 weeks of training knock it out.