Drop your predictions for tonight’s 1500 final. Stacked field. Should be a good one. I would go with Jakob, Kerr, Kipsang in that order.
Drop your predictions for tonight’s 1500 final. Stacked field. Should be a good one. I would go with Jakob, Kerr, Kipsang in that order.
1. Jakob, 2. Kerr, 3. Kipsang, 4. Wightman, 5. Gentleman Tim
But 2 to 5 could be any order really. Tim is looking a bit dangerous again.
Honestly you're not wrong that amongst these 5 it could go any which order. You have picked a slightly different order than I'd expect putting Wightman behind Kipsang.
I'm going with the following:
1. Kipsang 2. Jakob 3. Tim 4. Wightman 5. Kerr 6. Garcia Romo 7. McSweyn 8. Katir
-I think Jakob will put most of his focus on beating Kerr and Tim, while Kipsang will sneak by in the final 30 meters.
That being said, Kipsang we've seen drift and lose focus despite his great talent and Jakob/Tim/Kerr feel more reliable in these moments. Could easily see them denying Kipsang and Wightman again.
Potato Tim barely edges out Jakob
Then a small gap to Kerr, Kipsang, and Wightman in that order
Will Josh Thompson be last or second to last?
It's going to be the race we saw the other night, only Josh and Kipsang will be there with 150 to go.
The only wildcard is how Tim is feeling.
Yakob, Tim/Kipsang, Kerr, Tim/Kipsang, Katir.
I predict it will take sub-3:30 to medal and a quarter of Letsrun posters will call Thomson a coward for not running a 5-second PR and insist it's poor tactics that he wasn't just off Jakob's shoulder with 120m to go.
So, we haven't been able to get a big read on Tim. However, his explosion off the line has been normal, which indicates to me that that part of the equation is good to go. Last year you recall he went to the back at the start to be careful with it and didn't feel comfortable kicking it hard at the end. He hasn't really kicked hard at the finish yet at all, but at Kenyan Trials the hamstring looked like it was OK even though he got beat. That was it was amusing that Kerr was bragging about his kick in the semis when Jakob was cruising and Tim was in second gear.
Sad, but true.
Jacob is not going to lose....Hello Earthlings?
Complete respect to Thompson, has the second slowest pr in the finals field and lowest World ranking in the semi finals field and yet he's in the final. Made it into the final over guys like Tanner, Hoare, Tefera, Gregorek, and Gourley.
I will root for Jakob
+1
Ingebrigtsen - Kipsang - Cheruiyot - Katir - Kerr
Kerr
3:27.93
I don't think it's likely but I hope McSewyn goes hard from the start and pulls a Muir for bronze
This is the best prediction yet.
"Thomsons kick is superior to Jakob, at USAs his last 400 was a 53! He lacks that killer instinct to stay just behind Jakob, as everyone knows Jakob would end up in the front, and then go wide in the last turn and put in that superior kick! No way Jakob with his horrible 800m could be anywhere close to that. Cole Hocker would have won 9/10 times, the last one goes to Teare. These two knows how to position themselves for that last kick!"
Stewy lacks the kick to medal in a 331 race and the 3:28 to warrant the lack of kick. I cannot see a scenario where he medals.
I don’t trust Katir’s championship tactics. I fear he will fade or even be tripped up in traffic.
Kerr, Tim, Jakob, and Kipsang are consistent and unfettered in championship races. The question is what order? I will take the boring option of Jakob outlasting Kipsang, who is out leaned at the line by Tim, with Kerr close behind.
Prediction is about 85 degrees for 7:30 p.m. race in Eugene. I'd assume dew point is low. Shade would help. Conditions will be better than Tokyo but it's not optimal.
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