Agree or disagree: Runner's World: "Many believe the odds are in [Sara Hall's] favor [to break Deena Kastor's AR]."

my intuition is to bet against Sara to break the record. And believe her chances to be pretty unlikely. While cheering for her to break the record. You hear that Sara. Get mad and prove us wrong. But don't get mad before the last 3 miles.

What has she raced since peach tree?

doesn't she usually put in a race real close to her race? Is she changing that strategy?

She has the same percentage of breaking the American record by the same percentage that Bekele breaking Kipchoge's world record. Maybe slightly better.

I'd agree and say the odds are against her. But good luck if she goes for it. Should be fun to watch.

Rojo, while I'm here, why are Holocaust denial posts still up on this site? Why are racists and Holocaust deniers not permanently banned?

I visit a number of specialist forums, and on every other one people like Unkle would have been banned long ago. Why is that not possible here?

In the interest of your visitors, please deal with these issues, bring the focus back to running, and make visiting this site a better experience. Thank you.

She didn't manage to do it in optimal conditions at the Marathon Project (a low key elite only race with perfect pacing), we know how Hall has performed under pressure (she hasn't) so I highly doubt it'll happen.

I agree rojo and would also be the house and take 10/1 bets.

I'll agree that many believe that, since it's really difficult to prove otherwise.

Can't see her dropping a minute off her PR. Good possibility of her getting under 2:20 though, which would be amazing. 2:20 needs to be the goal for all elite women now, it's dispiriting to have to hope for something to go badly wrong for other runners in order for Americans and Europeans to compete.

When was the last time Runners World wrote anything worth reading? Ive never found an interesting article worth reading on RW.

If she wears some Nike super shoes with the Asics logo painted on them she might have a good shot.

If there's one thing Robert "almost fell out of my chair" Johnson, who weekly describes races as "epic," can't stand, it's a little hyperbole.

Doping on Ryan's T ???

I think she had a decent shot. More training and better tech. She is a strong competitor, I would give it like 3/1 or 4/1. Odds are never in anyone’s favor to break a marathon WR, there is too much unpredictability, but she is in great shape and has as good a shot as any other American woman ever has had to break it.

Love Sara Hall. Great little competitor for over two decades, and an even better person. But she's never quite sealed the deal at the highest level when it mattered. Bet the farm, the ranch, and your children's eyeballs that she doesn't get the AR in Chicago.

She is trying to break AR not WR. No way would she run 2:14.

Kev2 wrote:

She is trying to break AR not WR. No way would she run 2:14.

This reminds me of another reality show. Let's get Brigid Kosgei to live in a controlled environment where it is impossible to dope. and give her ninja pacers. and see how close to the world record she can get. In case that record is real. It would be nice to have a bit more data to support the idea that that was really a legitimate run.

Kobbs Hessler wrote:

Love Sara Hall. Great little competitor for over two decades, and an even better person. But she's never quite sealed the deal at the highest level when it mattered. Bet the farm, the ranch, and your children's eyeballs that she doesn't get the AR in Chicago.

Well, it doesn't REALLY matter here which is why she has a sliver of a chance.

My thoughts:

1) Sara Hall is 38. Father time WILL catch up to her at some point if it hasn't already.

2) I agree with you Rojo, that there's no way more than 50% of people who know who Sara Hall is believe she will break the American Record. I also do not think she will.

3) I DO give her a sliver of a chance though, and the reason for that is she seems to do amazingly well when she is not trying to make a team. I will be surprised but not shocked if she gets it done, but I WOULD be shocked if it happened during a time when she was tying to make a team.

Disagree.

A whole lot would have to line up in favor.

Doesn't look like she has anyone to run with, The first Women is too fast and no one besides her is even close to 2:20.00 Has she even said she will attempt The American Record? https://www.runnersworld.com/races-places/a37408920/major-marathons-fall-2021/