I'm sure we'll talk a lot about Hasay on this week'd podcast but what do you guys and gals think a good over/under would be?
I was kind of thinking 2:25 initially.
Is that CRAZY? I mean I know it's a time that only 8 US women have ever broken but for me anything above that doesn't move the needle for me at all. Think about it. She's a 2:20 -we pretty much a 2:21 marathoner (2:20:57 pb). So shouldn't she be able to run within 10 seconds of a mile of that even if she's not in peak shape? 10 second a mile is 4:20 in a marathon. Let's round up and say 4:30 so 2:25:30.
Think about it, it's like a 13:00 guy running 13:30. That really shouldn't be that hard for them to do with just a little bit of training. And 2:25:30 for the full marathon is pretty much equivalent to what she was supposedly shooting for in the half marathon a few weeks ago. Sarah Lorge Butler said the rabbits were taking Hasay out at 69 flat pace. Well according to MciMillan, a 69 flat is 2:25:13 (JK has it much slower at 2:27:24 but that's for the average runner and Hasay clearly tilts towards the marathon).
Now, I guess I don't really need to see a 2:25:30 But I'd like to se 2:25 equivalent performance factoring in for the windy conditions. Or at least that pace for like 20 miles and if she blows up, I don't care what the time is.
Maybe that's too ambitious. But anything over 2:28 to me is just a disaster. Let's add 15 seeconds a mile to her PB. That's like 6:33 in a marathon. So you are looking at 2:27:30.
My rating system for now.
Anything over 2:30 - F
2:28-2:30 D
2:28-2:25:30 C
2:25:30-2:23:00 B
Sub-2:23:00 - A
Now what do I expect after reading Paula's quotes? I'm not expecting a high grade.
And if you actually look at my rating, it's pretty nice right? If you come within 4 minutes of your PB , you get a B?