In a sane world they would let people decide for themselves if they wanted to take the risk.
Unfortunately we don't live in that world. Allowing people to run in this weather is a legal nightmare.
Worth noting (as I think a few other posts have suggested) that for large marathons (which I think TCM qualifies as) the main risk they're trying to mitigate is a mass casualty event that disrupts emergency medical services *for the community at large*, not just for runners. If all the ambulances are carting away heat stroke victims, then people die.
There have been numerous studies on this: non-runners who have, say, a heart attack on the day of a major marathon take longer to receive care and are more likely to ultimately die. And this is under normal weather conditions. (Part of the problem is road closures, even when medical teams aren't overwhelmed.) When there's a mass casualty event, the situation--for runners, but also for the community at large--gets significantly worse. So it doesn't really matter if all the runners are willing to accept the risk. The problem is the risk being imposed on others, and that's where the major pressure on race directors comes from.
Also worth noting that the TCM medical director is Bill Roberts, who is one of the major figures in marathon medical care. He's one of the guys who helps write the international guidelines, so a decision like this was not taken lightly or without adequate information.
No, their IG is being sent to everyone. 7 minutes ago I received one from them explaining about where to pick up their bag AFTER the 10 mile race.
Did people drop off / check their bags before the cancellation was announced? If so, it makes sense that they may still need to pick up the items that they left with gear-check. The way I read it, the post basically says to come by the office to pick up any gear that they have not yet been able to retrieve since dropping it off this morning for the 10 mile race.
In a sane world they would let people decide for themselves if they wanted to take the risk.
Unfortunately we don't live in that world. Allowing people to run in this weather is a legal nightmare.
Worth noting (as I think a few other posts have suggested) that for large marathons (which I think TCM qualifies as) the main risk they're trying to mitigate is a mass casualty event that disrupts emergency medical services *for the community at large*, not just for runners. If all the ambulances are carting away heat stroke victims, then people die.
There have been numerous studies on this: non-runners who have, say, a heart attack on the day of a major marathon take longer to receive care and are more likely to ultimately die. And this is under normal weather conditions. (Part of the problem is road closures, even when medical teams aren't overwhelmed.) When there's a mass casualty event, the situation--for runners, but also for the community at large--gets significantly worse. So it doesn't really matter if all the runners are willing to accept the risk. The problem is the risk being imposed on others, and that's where the major pressure on race directors comes from.
Also worth noting that the TCM medical director is Bill Roberts, who is one of the major figures in marathon medical care. He's one of the guys who helps write the international guidelines, so a decision like this was not taken lightly or without adequate information.
This really hits the nail on the head. Also, am I right in saying that it is the same Bill Roberts who wrote this study? In it, he very clearly makes the case for TCM to have a "do not start" temperature of 69 degrees:
In a sane world they would let people decide for themselves if they wanted to take the risk.
Unfortunately we don't live in that world. Allowing people to run in this weather is a legal nightmare.
Worth noting (as I think a few other posts have suggested) that for large marathons (which I think TCM qualifies as) the main risk they're trying to mitigate is a mass casualty event that disrupts emergency medical services *for the community at large*, not just for runners. If all the ambulances are carting away heat stroke victims, then people die.
There have been numerous studies on this: non-runners who have, say, a heart attack on the day of a major marathon take longer to receive care and are more likely to ultimately die. And this is under normal weather conditions. (Part of the problem is road closures, even when medical teams aren't overwhelmed.) When there's a mass casualty event, the situation--for runners, but also for the community at large--gets significantly worse. So it doesn't really matter if all the runners are willing to accept the risk. The problem is the risk being imposed on others, and that's where the major pressure on race directors comes from.
Also worth noting that the TCM medical director is Bill Roberts, who is one of the major figures in marathon medical care. He's one of the guys who helps write the international guidelines, so a decision like this was not taken lightly or without adequate information.
Ok but they shouldn’t have waited until the very last omits to cancel
Worth noting (as I think a few other posts have suggested) that for large marathons (which I think TCM qualifies as) the main risk they're trying to mitigate is a mass casualty event that disrupts emergency medical services *for the community at large*, not just for runners. If all the ambulances are carting away heat stroke victims, then people die.
There have been numerous studies on this: non-runners who have, say, a heart attack on the day of a major marathon take longer to receive care and are more likely to ultimately die. And this is under normal weather conditions. (Part of the problem is road closures, even when medical teams aren't overwhelmed.) When there's a mass casualty event, the situation--for runners, but also for the community at large--gets significantly worse. So it doesn't really matter if all the runners are willing to accept the risk. The problem is the risk being imposed on others, and that's where the major pressure on race directors comes from.
Also worth noting that the TCM medical director is Bill Roberts, who is one of the major figures in marathon medical care. He's one of the guys who helps write the international guidelines, so a decision like this was not taken lightly or without adequate information.
Ok but they shouldn’t have waited until the very last minute to cancel
When I was competing, I would run 120 mpw in the Texas summer heat during my buildup. I would meet up with my team at 7am and knock out 18-22 mile runs that started out 80 degrees all the time.
Yet...I completely agree with this decision to cancel.
6 years I ago my now wife was racing in a marathon in conditions very similar to the ones forecast to today. She is very good about taking her water and nutrition breaks, and that day was no different. The race started in the high 60's and felt quite cool to us at the start. She felt great and was stopping regularly at water stops. However once the sun came out, everything went south and before she knew it, she was feeling dehydrated and lightheaded.
The last thing she remembers from the race is seeing the finish line in front of her and then everything went black and she woke up in the hospital. She was experiencing rhabdomyolysis, and her temperature had gone up to 107.5. She was touch and go on her way to the hospital (EMS called her father to tell him she might not make it), and we spent the next 3 days in the hospital before she was discharged.
A single person's life is much more important and valuable than a wasted plane ticket, or the inconvenience of spending money on a hotel while taking time off from work. If the medical team Twin Cities was working with decided conditions were dangerous, then the race organizers made the right call. They most likely saved lives today.
The elites were in the staging area (already off the bus) when they were told it was cancelled. So about 15-20 of them went over to a lake that's about 5k around and did a workout. According to the workouts on-line some guys ran over 9 miles around 4:50's pace. That's the difference between runners and hobby-joggers.
Cancellation was the right call it was too hot and sunny to run a marathon for most of the registrants. Especially for people that live in a place that isn't normally that hot.
I've seen several HS meets sending kids off in an ambulance for heat issues this season and in conditions similar to what MSP has today. And that is 3 miles, not 26. And I'm in a place where people are more heat acclimated than MSP.
EMS would have been overwhelmed and on top of that runners would have been miserable and would have run very slow times.
Looking at the forecast, it looks like it is expected to be 73 at 10:00 a.m., but 80 at 12:00.
The ten miler could have been safely run with registered ten milers participants only (warm, but not unlike many Spring ten milers) but the Marathon would have been a sh!t show.
I posted this ten hours ago. It turns out it was even hotter.
Hello Sunday Marathon Weekend Participants, As you prepare to pick up your race packets at the Health & fitness Expo today and tomorrow and then make final preparations for your run on the weekend, Twin Cities In Motion wants to reiterate that all races this weekend are expected to run under EAS RED Flag conditions (Extreme Caution: Potentially Dangerous Conditions.) due to extreme heat and humidity. It Will Be Up to the Weather: Twin Cities In Motion will only start Sunday’s races if our medical team and community safety partners are confident we can run the races in their entirety under RED Flag or better conditions. EAS Flag conditions are based on very clear Wet Bulb Globe Temperature thresholds that must be followed in concert with the ability to support a safe event. While the likelihood of a cancellation appears low, if cancelling the race is required based upon our best practices and safety protocols in light of weather conditions, it is a decision we will make at any time conditions dictate. Please expect a dedicated email update about weather conditions and the safety status of the event by 8:30 p.m. Saturday evening, September 30.
Forecast says low of 68 and a high of 85. Race threatens to cancel the event by 830PM the night before the race.
Am I insane? Doesn't this seem awfully odd?
Wimps. The Goodwill Games Mens Marathon (Seattle - July 21, 1990) was run on the hottest day of the year - 92-94 degrees with no clouds. Two days later, the GG decathlon began at the University of Washington with Dave Johnson and Dan O'Brien seeing their breath as a marine cold front moved in, chilling them, but too late for the poor marathoners. Go figure.
The high for Grandma's Marathon 2016 (June 18) was 72 degrees, so while it was hotter than average, it still did not reach the levels of today's Twin Cities Marathon. It was 80 degrees at 11 AM in Minneapolis and was getting hotter.
Hello Sunday Marathon Weekend Participants, As you prepare to pick up your race packets at the Health & fitness Expo today and tomorrow and then make final preparations for your run on the weekend, Twin Cities In Motion wants to reiterate that all races this weekend are expected to run under EAS RED Flag conditions (Extreme Caution: Potentially Dangerous Conditions.) due to extreme heat and humidity. It Will Be Up to the Weather: Twin Cities In Motion will only start Sunday’s races if our medical team and community safety partners are confident we can run the races in their entirety under RED Flag or better conditions. EAS Flag conditions are based on very clear Wet Bulb Globe Temperature thresholds that must be followed in concert with the ability to support a safe event. While the likelihood of a cancellation appears low, if cancelling the race is required based upon our best practices and safety protocols in light of weather conditions, it is a decision we will make at any time conditions dictate. Please expect a dedicated email update about weather conditions and the safety status of the event by 8:30 p.m. Saturday evening, September 30.
Forecast says low of 68 and a high of 85. Race threatens to cancel the event by 830PM the night before the race.
Am I insane? Doesn't this seem awfully odd?
Then there is this: Random Acts of Medicine," Jena and Worsham (Doubleday, 2023) Chapter Five: "Are Marathons Hazardous to Your Health?" Here, the research was not on runners, but "What happened on marathon days to people who weren't running the marathon but who happened to live close by"? According to the authors, "It seems that marathon-related road closures really were delaying ambulances, and older [non-running] patients with heart attacks and cardiac arrests were dying as a result." In other words, if you live where a marathon is scheduled in your city/neighborhood, best to postpone your heart attack or cardiac arrest if possible.
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