52.43 wrote:
yeah, but to this date he hasn't even run a 1000m, so kaki is much the better of the two in the longer events
Coes pb on the road is 14:00 according to this
http://www.thegreatdistancerunners.de/SebastianCoe.htmlUnder 13:00? Well he didn't run under 7:50 over 3000m and ran only 4:58 over 2000m. So 13:30 - 13:40 maybe like the runner he was. Focusing on it for two three seasons then close to 13:00. I say 13:07
If you look closer at his list of races, then you'll see 3 road runs where it shows a 5000 capability well below 14:00
1978 - 4 miles in 17:54 - that's 13:54 5k pace for another mile
1980 - 7.5km in 20:59 - that's 13:59 pace maintained for 2.5k further.
1983 - 6.7km (not 7.5km as on the list!) in 18:28 - that's 13:46 5k pace for another mile.
I'd say all of those were below 13:30 in a track 5000m race, and they were all run out of season.
As for his 4:58 2000m, it was a solo run for the entire 5 laps at the beginning of June. I've got the race on dvd and will put it on Youtube soon, but the pace maker was already 10m ahead by 200m in. Coe went through 400m in 56.9 and was alone for the entire race. Just through lack of drafting alone, that has to be worth 4:54/4:55, which would have put him 2nd on the all time list at the time.
The race underlined more Coe's inexperience at running the distance.
Coe's fastest 3000m was indoors in Feb or March on a wooden track. His 7:54 would have been worth probably sub 7:50 even on a modern indoor track. The fact he ran the last 1000m inside 2:30, would suggest around 7:45 form that day.
I'd say he was capable of 13:20 in the right race any season just off his 800/1500 training. While no great shakes now, that would put him in the top 10 most seasons at the time.
With specific training for a season I see no reason that he couldn't have approached 13:06 - 13:10.