How about what if he breaks even ONE real world record??
The indoor 1500 WR is a joke "WR". The indoor 2000m is even more of a joke and should be at most called a "world best" like the indoor two-mile (not even a real WR but a "world best.")
Start this thread again when he comes within:
ONE SECOND OF THE 1500 world record
THREE SECONDS OF THE 3000 world record
TEN SECONDS OF THE 5000 world record
LOL HIS PB is 90 SECONDS OFF THE 10k WR.
Have you discussed this issue with Armstronglivs before your post?
Facts?
Objectivity?
Reasoning?
All not yours.
Within next two years (if he really tries) I give him chances something like:
1500m: 10%
Mile: 25% (weaker mark and longer than 1500m)
3000m: 60% (just needs form of last year)
5000m: 30%
10000m: 15% (really just a guess)
steeple: 30% (not for next two years, but during career)
So you think Jakob has only 60% chance for ever being in the same shape as last year IN THE REST OF HIS CAREER?!
I would - barring serious illness or injury - give him 80% chance that he will be in significant better shape later in his career than last year.
That is how it goes when you are 22 years old and are training under a well proven, well balanced, mainly aerobic training regimen: You improve your aerobic capacity and therefore your times gradually as time goes by.
Have you discussed this issue with Armstronglivs before your post?
Facts?
Objectivity?
Reasoning?
All not yours.
Within next two years (if he really tries) I give him chances something like:
1500m: 10%
Mile: 25% (weaker mark and longer than 1500m)
3000m: 60% (just needs form of last year)
5000m: 30%
10000m: 15% (really just a guess)
steeple: 30% (not for next two years, but during career)
So you think Jakob has only 60% chance for ever being in the same shape as last year IN THE REST OF HIS CAREER?!
I would - barring serious illness or injury - give him 80% chance that he will be in significant better shape later in his career than last year.
That is how it goes when you are 22 years old and are training under a well proven, well balanced, mainly aerobic training regimen: You improve your aerobic capacity and therefore your times gradually as time goes by.
So you think Jakob has only 60% chance for ever being in the same shape as last year IN THE REST OF HIS CAREER?!
I would - barring serious illness or injury - give him 80% chance that he will be in significant better shape later in his career than last year.
That is how it goes when you are 22 years old and are training under a well proven, well balanced, mainly aerobic training regimen: You improve your aerobic capacity and therefore your times gradually as time goes by.
It was about next two years.
So you don´t think he will improve the next 2 years?
So you don´t think he will improve the next 2 years?
Baring injuries, I think he will set some PBs.
He obviously was capable to set the 3000m WR last year. My 60% is really some high number, especially when considering we have an Olympic year. Mile should be within his reach. Not sure if he even tries the 5000m and more so the 10000m (most likely not).