CAS intern wrote:
There are no percentage tables on the CAS decision. You have these thoughts in your head because you do not understand the process . She lost the case that she submitted . You are trying to educate others with probabilities and percentages , because your random thoughts are interfering with with a structure decision that has been concluded.
“Balance of probabilities” is in the decision.
“Balance of probabilities” can be expressed relative to 50%, by definition.
The CAS found that Shelby did not meet the standard of “balance of probabilities” — by definition less than 50%.
Some posters interpret this to mean that Shelby lied, which is not what the CAS found.
“Lying” would mean “not possible”, while the CAS repeatedly said it was possible.
“casual” thought Shelby should have tested pigs and burritos, and not doing so was, I guess, a lack of diligence.
I used 0.33% to say that at least 300 pigs would have to be tested.
0.33% is in the decision.
Factoring in other things, I suggested maybe as many as 10,000 pigs would have to be tested.
1 in 10,000 is also in the decision.
“casual” did some math, falsely attributing 1% to me for other unnamed scenarios, I guess wanting to suggest that really 3,000,000,000 pigs would have to be tested, I guess helping me make the point that his expectation of testing pigs and burritos is a high burden.
1% is not in the decision.