rekrunner wrote:
Yes, you often present this false dichotomy of genetics vs. doping, arguing that genetics is bunk, so therefore high performance is explained by the only other possibility -- doping.
It would be unusual to say "next Snell" or "next Elliot", heroes of yester-century, instead of "next Rudisha", hero of today, and the best of all time.
Lastest British population statistics puts GB at a population of around 60+ million, with 87% (~52 million) white and 3% (~2 million) black -- some small fraction of which are East African. Not sure why global population matters -- even in Kenya and Ethiopia, success is concentrated among certain limited regions and tribes, and not distributed equally.
Why not Kipketer?
Just how many East African ex-pats regularly go back to Africa? Can you confirm your speculative theory with real data? What about those athletes not going back to Africa? For example, do/did all these athletes go back regularly?: Wilson Kipketer, Paul Chelimo, Hilary Bor, Bernard Lagat, Sammy Wanjiru, Buzenesh Deba, King Ches, Futsum Zeineselassie, Sam Chelenga, Lopez Lomong, Hassan Mead, Mo Ahmed, ... ?
Can you explain why Bengt Saltin, in a 1990 study, estimated that 500 Kenyan schoolboys could beat Sweden's best national runner? Were all of these schoolboys already on EPO as early as 1990? Who was funding that? Wouldn't they need refrigerators and electricity?
Can you explain how Kenya and Ethiopia already dominated World Cross Country, a decade earlier, in the 1980s? Were they already using blood transfusions and steroids, like some of the Europeans? Why would East Africans dominate, but not the Europeans with better access to medical technology?
I have often addressed "success as soon as EPO" as a figment of your imagination, attempting to link events (that sometimes did not happen) to milestones that might have occurred years or decades earlier.
Outside of a half-dozen runners around the year 2000 +/- 4 years, North Africans did not "dominate" over the non-African athletes. Any marginal difference I would attribute to Europeans/Americans not reaching their potential. Post El G, North Africans are still doping in large numbers, but not signficantly outperforming non-African athletes, nor even athletes from the 1980s.
I don't have a master race theory but a high altitude theory. My theory predicts, if you take European descended families and move them to Iten, and bring up the kids just like the locals, after 1 or 2 generations, you will see many non-African descended athletes emerging. Ryan Hall was a product of being raised at altitude, combined with a light weight. The Robertson twins improved greatly, as did Moen, with an extended training at high altitude. Even the Johnson twins significantly improved after college, by training at altitude.
If you think of living at high altitude as comparable to a lifetime of continuous micro-dosing of EPO, it should not be hard to imagine East African dominance achieved legally, without rejecting your strong beliefs in the power of EPO.
Coevett wrote:
Personally I've spent a lot of time here explaining these things.
For example, the coach of Peter Bol and Joseph Deng, who posts here a lot, stated that he found those two young athletes whilst 'scouting for the next Rudisha'. Notice that he didn't state 'scouting for the next Snell', or 'scouting for the next Herb Elliott', both of whom, however fast and talented Bol and Deng are, were in a different stratosphere when it came to middle-distance talent.
I don't know the precise number of East African decent or born immigrants in GB now, but I would guess it is at least 1 or 2 million, probably the Somali population alone is at least 2 million. As of now, despite probably every one of them being pidgeonholed by their PE teachers as distance runners, as little Mo Farah was, that population has thus far produced one outstanding distance runner - Mo 'doorbell' 'Aden just held the watch' Farah.
When you ask us to explain the success of East Africans representing Denmark, are you seriously referring to Kipketer?
Most or all of these athletes go back to their home (or 'ancestral home') regularly, where there is still little or no testing.
Does your master race theory also explain why Algerians and Moroccan immigrants suddenly dominated Spanish, French, Belgian running as soon as EPO became available in the early 90s?
How do you explain how the richest and most successful VO2 athlete Kenya has ever produced (by a wide margin) is a pasty faced white guy whose parents are from Scotland?