jjjjjjjjj wrote:Maybe Lagat's change in citizenship from Kenya leads to your underestimating him?
no
it was because bernie was already ole man river by '06
El G's one race doesn't mean that Lagat could not have ridden behind a low 12:40s guy the whole way in the proper race
not in '06 & almost certainly never
i really can't think of better than ~ slightly sub-12'50 for him, ever
If Gebremeskel can run mid 12:40s, maybe better, why not Lagat? After all, a 12:53 at least three years after his peak (2010-2007), in a 12:52 race does suggest much better in 2007 or even better in 2004-6.
they are nowhere like the same beast
that geb kid who ran 12'46 with only a barely adequate 4th km & then a 2'26 last km with a ~ 54.5 last lap with running wide in both bends, probably more like a 405m last lap, meaning ~ 53.8 if tight in lane 1, was very likely as quick as mo for basic speed
that means he was probably about 3'28 that day with advantage of doing that off 5k training & i reckon he couda gone 12'40 that day at even-pace
so, this kid probably had 3'28 speed & that is far beyond the bernie of '07 onwards