blase wrote:
Desperately grasping at an innocuous explanation based on unremarkable times just wont work. Repeat the talking point "number 1 in her class" (which I am not going to bother double checking), but the times are just not there. Her times were a harbinger of nothing particularly special until that Johnson infected 1600 her senior year (Lauren Johnson was pacing her in the race), a time that made zero sense based on all her prior results. And the fact that you claim she had uninterrupted health makes it worse. Claiming that she had this extraordinary latent talent that suddenly burst out is silly. It is clearly not the most logical explanation given the context.
This is where you differ with most posters. For a senior girl anything below 4:39 is a harbinger of something special, and that will make a girl a top 5 distance recruit. For me a top 5 recruit is already special. You combine that pool with late bloomers like Purrier, MacLean, Houlihan etc and that's who makes it as pros on us teams. There's only been lifetime 15 or so HS girls under 4:40.
If you say special is only Decker, Simpson, Cain, Efraimson and Mu that's different from most of us and for me a waste of time.