wineturtle wrote:Last weeks Possible Rio Starter list from the excellent site---
http://road-to-rio.com/1 Eliud Kipchoge KEN 2:04:00 Berlin (GER) 27.09.2015 TFP,Q
2 Tesfaye Abera ETH 2:04:24 Dubai (UAE) 22.01.2016 TFP,Q
3 Hayle Lemi ETH 2:04:33 Dubai (UAE) 22.01.2016 TFP,Q
4 Tsegaye Mekonnen ETH 2:04:46 Dubai (UAE) 22.01.2016 TFP,Q
5 Wilson Kipsang KEN 2:04:47 London (GBR) 26.04.2015 TFP,Q
6 Wilson Loyanai KEN 2:05:13 Seoul (KOR) 20.03.2016 TFP,Q
7 Kaan Kigen Özbilen TUR 2:06:10 Seoul (KOR) 20.03.2016 TFP,Q
8 Stephen Kiprotich UGA 2:06:33 Tokyo (JPN) 22.02.2015 TFP,Q
9 Tadesse Abraham SUI 2:06:40 Seoul (KOR) 20.03.2016 TFP,Q
10 Shumi Dechasa BRN 2:07:20 Tokyo (JPN) 22.02.2015 TFP,Q
Masato Imai JPN 2:07:39 Tokyo (JPN) 22.02.2015 nS,TFP,Q
11 Stephen Mokoka RSA 2:07:40 Shanghai (CHN) 08.11.2015 TFP,Q
12 Ghirmay Ghebreslassie ERI 2:07:47 Hamburg (GER) 26.04.2015 TFP,Q
13 Amanuel Mesel ERI 2:08:18 Warszawa (POL) 26.04.2015 TFP,Q
14 Arne Gabius GER 2:08:33 Frankfurt (GER) 25.10.2015 TFP,Q
15 Satoru Sasaki JPN 2:08:56 Fukuoka (JPN) 06.12.2015 S,TFP,Q
16 Oleksandr Sitkovskyy UKR 2:09:11 Marrakech (MAR) 25.01.2015 Q
Hiroaki Sano JPN 2:09:12 Tokyo (JPN) 22.02.2015 nS,TFP,Q
17 Hisanori Kitajima JPN 2:09:16 Otsu (JPN) 06.03.2016 S,TFP,Q
17 Tewelde Estifanos ERI 2:09:16 Frankfurt (GER) 25.10.2015 TFP,Q
19 Alphonce Felix TAN 2:09:19 Otsu (JPN) 06.03.2016 TFP,Q
Koji Gokaya JPN 2:09:21 Tokyo (JPN) 22.02.2015 nS,TFP,Q
20 Suehiro Ishikawa JPN 2:09:25 Otsu (JPN) 06.03.2016 S,TFP,Q
21 Javier Guerra ESP 2:09:33 London (GBR) 26.04.2015
This is good for perspective... even after limiting KEN and ETH entries there will be a lot of solid PRs at the line. Of course we all know PRs only tell so much. Would be cool to know what Rupp's LA SweatFest performance would have translated to, say, this year's Dubai.
My official rupp guess would be finishing in the 6-12 range (really going out on a limb here, i know). A couple top guys will surprise us and suck/DNF, and a couple next-tier guys will surprise us and run top 6.