Indicative wrote:
For a more scientific estimate, Ventolin's calculator might have a good estimation of what kind of shape he was in that day.
Really?? Seriously???
Wentolin's horse calculator, horsiecalc.co.uk or wherever he has that horrible website, missed Mo Farrah's 10,000 PR this year by OVER 30 SECONDS. And he had recent races in the 3000, 5000 and half-marathon to go on! Anyone with a casual interest in the sport can come within 2% more times than not, and that's about all wentolin^0 has been good for.
I challenged him to make some predictions early this season so that we could actually see horsiecalc.co.uk in action, but other than failing simply MASSIVELY with Farah's time he has put NOTHING out there, for the obvious reason that it's useless for this purpose.
All wentolin^0 does is work retrospectively to paint horsiecalc.co.uk in a flattering light. ("Hey, look, Farah has a 10000 PR of 26:45. His 3000 PR is 7:38, but I happen to think that he has 48.7435 400 speed based on watching Diamond League races on TV. Trying horsiecalc.co.uk ====> 12:53! Look, horsiecalc works")