one is bad for the Dems: voters around the world want to kick out the current leaders. Doesn't matter much who they are - just kick them out and try again is the trend. Bad for Dems. Uk and France are examples.
another is good for the dems: the hard right le pen/trump parties scare the dickens out of a lot of people and will drive turnout to deny rightists leadership. This is good for the Dems because tens of millions are legit terrified of trump and the current GOP and those people will crawl over glass to vote against them. Good for the Dems. UK and France are again examples.
So, how do you weight those?
Labour’s victory in the UK was overwhelmingly a rejection of conservative incumbents as opposed to endorsement of the left.
^ This.
UK had six prime ministers from 1976-2016, a period of 40 years.
It has had six prime ministers since 2016, and all but one have been Conservatives.
The Tories need to get their "stuff" together - or bring back Boris.
Which is still a victory for National Rally. They forced this result - or Macron did - but it was NR showing in the EU elections that caused his "snap" judgment. Now it is coming back to bite him in the az.
They lost , by a lot, and showed that right-wingers are a minority party
don’t spin it into a win.
I knew we would see someone insane “losing to the left in a totally unexpected result after getting outmaneuvered by Macron is actually a win” takes. The cope is here.
US politics is binary. European countries are far more fractured, in terms of parties. Labour’s victory in the UK was overwhelmingly a rejection of conservative incumbents as opposed to endorsement of the left. And Reform divided conservative opinion in half.
In five years time, Labour will have an almighty battle on their hands. Plus, the Lib Dem vote will collapse and, if reform returns to the Conservative Party, they could well be back.
Biden, in contrast, is done. No party or allies can come to his aid. Democrats will be in the wilderness and need to reset.
you'll have to reconcile why in the UK the ruling right was kicked out but in France the ruling center was kicked out and why in Canada the ruling liberals are getting their clocks cleaned and why in the US the center left ruler Biden is losing despite a remarkably good economic record and the nation is at peace and scandal free.
the answer is that the ruling party is loathed right now..doesnt' matter a whole lot who the leaders are. People vote against them in a knee jerk fashion.
There’s nothing to reconcile.
As the saying goes: ’Vote the b@stards out’.
Politics is reactionary. Real success is winning a second term.
To answer the question in the title, clearly not. The RN have doubled their voter support in 2 years, that can be construed as many things, but certainly not the "end" of a reaction. Good news for centrists is they will probably get most of those votes back if they actually clamp down on mass immigration, that has at least been the case in other European countries.
Conceding to their demands never works.
In the UK the Reform Party's original demand was leave the EU. We did that and then they pivoted towards leaving the European single market and European customs union. We did that and now they want to tear up our other European and international agreements including the Convention on Human Rights.
There's never enough Brexit that satisfies these people.
Whites are becoming a minority in the West, right wing politics don't have a future. Even in America the teabaggers who later became Trump voters couldn't defeat Obama who was elected twice. They couldn't stop Obamacare or stop immigration.