multiple signs of inflation moderating quickly. Car prices, shipping costs, wages, PPI all showing less inflationary data...Wednesday's CPI number will be a big one.
Sentiment will change in an instant once people see inflation as receding. Which it seems to be doing.
multiple signs of inflation moderating quickly. Car prices, shipping costs, wages, PPI all showing less inflationary data...Wednesday's CPI number will be a big one.
Sentiment will change in an instant once people see inflation as receding. Which it seems to be doing.
multiple signs of inflation moderating quickly. Car prices, shipping costs, wages, PPI all showing less inflationary data...Wednesday's CPI number will be a big one.
Sentiment will change in an instant once people see inflation as receding. Which it seems to be doing.
View the current U.S. inflation rate according to latest CPI data from the Bureau of Labor Statistics, released in October. Review CPI and inflation statistics for the past 10 years.
Let's review annual inflation rate (%) in the most recent months that have been measured.
From August 2021 forward thru March 2022.
5.25, 5.39, 6.22, 6.81, 7.04, 7.48. 7.87. 8.54.
You are looking hard into the rear view mirror. That is a poor way to invest or understand the economy. The pieces have begun to shift. Here’s GS summing up the receding inflation story. I will repeat that when the market takes a breath and realizes inflation is receding, with the VIX at a panic-sell 34….wild things can happen.
"For the first time since the price surge started in early 2021, we have revised our end-2022 core PCE forecasts down rather than up and are now more confident that both headline and core inflation have peaked in year-on-year terms"
Let's review annual inflation rate (%) in the most recent months that have been measured.
From August 2021 forward thru March 2022.
5.25, 5.39, 6.22, 6.81, 7.04, 7.48. 7.87. 8.54.
You are looking hard into the rear view mirror. That is a poor way to invest or understand the economy. The pieces have begun to shift. Here’s GS summing up the receding inflation story. I will repeat that when the market takes a breath and realizes inflation is receding, with the VIX at a panic-sell 34….wild things can happen.
In fact it was me who "literally" posted the inflation data for 2022.
Highest in 41 years.
Where? In his post that you replied to. Are you blind?
I must be.
Here is his post.
Please point out the data he posted:
"multiple signs of inflation moderating quickly. Car prices, shipping costs, wages, PPI all showing less inflationary data...Wednesday's CPI number will be a big one. Sentiment will change in an instant once people see inflation as receding. Which it seems to be doing. meanwhile, the money keeps vanishing. VIX screaming high 34."
Where? In his post that you replied to. Are you blind?
I must be.
Here is his post.
Please point out the data he posted:
"multiple signs of inflation moderating quickly. Car prices, shipping costs, wages, PPI all showing less inflationary data...Wednesday's CPI number will be a big one. Sentiment will change in an instant once people see inflation as receding. Which it seems to be doing. meanwhile, the money keeps vanishing. VIX screaming high 34."
"multiple signs of inflation moderating quickly. Car prices, shipping costs, wages, PPI all showing less inflationary data...Wednesday's CPI number will be a big one. Sentiment will change in an instant once people see inflation as receding. Which it seems to be doing. meanwhile, the money keeps vanishing. VIX screaming high 34."
you posted up to date data, sure. But it's the crude stuff, not looking under the numbers showing changes.
Easiest example is that you have posted year over year numbers. Which is fine - that's real data and useful. But it doesn't show what is happening under the surface.
For example, if you look at month over month data, it's clear that many measures of inflation are cooling. Each month's inflation over the prior month has been a little less. Which, if the pattern continues, will go to zero or negative. That shows you the direction. Year over Year is much cruder and doesn't show the path of the data.
Bottom line, people are trying to unload their sh!t like used cars, but nobody normal has any money to buy it. Credit card debt increase now at ath, nobody has any money, and prices of some things will drop, or cease to rise as rapidly.
But that stoopit speculation is only conclusive if you are a permabull.
you posted up to date data, sure. But it's the crude stuff, not looking under the numbers showing changes.
Easiest example is that you have posted year over year numbers. Which is fine - that's real data and useful. But it doesn't show what is happening under the surface.
For example, if you look at month over month data, it's clear that many measures of inflation are cooling. Each month's inflation over the prior month has been a little less. Which, if the pattern continues, will go to zero or negative. That shows you the direction. Year over Year is much cruder and doesn't show the path of the data.
there are other examples like that.
Here are the changing numbers based on the most up to date data:
Let's review annual inflation rate (%) in the most recent months that have been measured. From August 2021 forward thru March 2022. 5.25, 5.39, 6.22, 6.81, 7.04, 7.48. 7.87. 8.54.
you posted up to date data, sure. But it's the crude stuff, not looking under the numbers showing changes.
Easiest example is that you have posted year over year numbers. Which is fine - that's real data and useful. But it doesn't show what is happening under the surface.
For example, if you look at month over month data, it's clear that many measures of inflation are cooling. Each month's inflation over the prior month has been a little less. Which, if the pattern continues, will go to zero or negative. That shows you the direction. Year over Year is much cruder and doesn't show the path of the data.
there are other examples like that.
Here are the changing numbers based on the most up to date data:
Let's review annual inflation rate (%) in the most recent months that have been measured. From August 2021 forward thru March 2022. 5.25, 5.39, 6.22, 6.81, 7.04, 7.48. 7.87. 8.54.