Well right now yeah we're probably looking at a second Klepto-Nepo Trump admin, but fact is, a major demo group is not doing what the polls say is its doing.
Probably women, I suspect. Not willing to tell a stranger or her husband she's going to vote for a godless communist demonrat out to put her sons in dresses and inject them with microchips, but in the privacy of the voting booth she'll do it.
And look at absolutely vital MI! 20 points of bad polling!
This striking pattern of Trump under-performing his poll numbers continues. According to 538, Trump was meant to win:
- Massachusetts by 37 (NYT says he's up by 23)
- Tennessee by 69 (he's up 57)
- Texas by 64 (he's up 56)
- Virginia by 49 (he's up by 29)
- Iowa by 53 points (he won by 30)
- New Hampshire by 18 points (he won by 11)
- South Carolina by 28 points (he won by 20)
- Michigan by 62 points (he's up by 42)
- Alabama by 75 (he's up 68)
- Oklahoma by 77 (he's up 66)
- Maine 58 by (he's up 47)
- Minnesota by 64 (he's up 41)
- Utah by 27 (he's up 14)