Down goes the Dow

agip, Seattle, and others:

Leaving in a bit to take Mrs. Igy to get her hair done. She is doing very well. Last couple of weeks as emotionally wild as the markets.

Good luck with your trades and have a good weekend.

Igy

Earnings Scorecard: For Q4 2021 (with 95% of S&P 500 companies reporting actual results), 76% of S&P 500 companies have reported a positive EPS surprise and 78% of S&P 500 companies have reported a positive revenue surprise.

Igy, please enjoy day at beauty parlor with Mrs. Igy. Great to hear that she is doing very well. Have a great weekend!

Great news. Please send our best to Mrs Igy. Let's hope for some spring weather in which you both can enjoy being out of hospital. Or some crisp snowy days.

The S&P 90; Germany invaded Poland on 9/1/1939.

7/27/1939
12.18
7/28/1939
12.14
7/31/1939
12.04
8/1/1939
12.04
8/2/1939
12.16
8/3/1939
12.12
8/4/1939
11.9
8/7/1939
11.84
8/8/1939
11.87
8/9/1939
11.78
8/10/1939
11.54
8/11/1939
11.56
8/14/1939
11.78
8/15/1939
11.89
8/16/1939
11.58
8/17/1939
11.57
8/18/1939
11.33
8/21/1939
11.03
8/22/1939
11.24
8/23/1939
10.89
8/24/1939
10.86
8/25/1939
11.09
8/28/1939
11.17
8/29/1939
11.48
8/30/1939
11.36
8/31/1939
11.18
9/1/1939
11.3
9/5/1939
12.64
9/6/1939
12.53
9/7/1939
12.5
9/8/1939
12.69
9/11/1939
13.02
9/12/1939
13.17
9/13/1939
13.03
9/14/1939
13.08
9/15/1939
13.07
9/18/1939
12.47
9/19/1939
12.95
9/20/1939
12.94
9/21/1939
13.02
9/22/1939
12.92
9/25/1939
12.95
9/26/1939
13.11
9/27/1939
13.11
9/28/1939
12.86
9/29/1939
12.79

Here's a monthly chart 1939-1940; France fell in June 1940.

Image:fred.stlouisfed.org/graph/fredgraph.pn...

Even flat on the week feels massively optimistic given the circumstances and how bad it was looking earlier. I need to pay more attention to VIX. No doubt thee is a lot to be gained there, but I haven't had a great way to track it, and now I am starting to see it quoted on the futures sites i follow.

Volume is another one that smart traders key on, but I've glossed over.

Likewise, ARKK, jamin, I was going to look at it, too, but have been just too busy re-balancing,

you can just go to yahoo finance and type VIX in the search. 15 min delay tho.

I read somewhere that the German stock market rose 1939-42, until the Battle of Stalingrad, when things went pear shaped and eventually they shut the exchange.

It's not that the holdings are bad. It's that Cathie is a terrible trader. She buys at the peak and sells at 52 week lows. Bought COIN above 400 and sold in the 200s. Loaded up HOOD in the 40s+ and sold below 20. Bought PLTR around 30 and sold around 12. It's like she's trying to lose on purpose.

Nice, Igy. Very happy to hear that things have been improving. Have a great weekend to you and the Mrs.

The S+P 500 ETF I have money in is down 8.39% for the year.

Sht missed btc 34k again.

Holding cash still waiting for some buys, plus taxes.

NATO giving anti-air defense plus more weaponry, Ukraine looking like they are gonna fight. Russia getting sloppy with civilian targets. About to send in the experienced troops. Possibly conflict escalation in the books.

How stupid.

So many people about to be killed

Yeah Putin is a demented guy. Give him a real 21st century hypersonic, right on the doorstep of his dacha.

cnbc.com

Ukrainian central bank suspends electronic cash transfers, bolstering the use case for crypto

https://www.facebook.com/CNBC

Ukraine's central bank is cracking down on digital money transfers in connection with a nationwide declaration of martial law.

Link:www.cnbc.com/2022/02/24/ukranian-bank-...

This is what crypto is for.

+1

How was the trout, mashed potatoes, and ice cream? Can’t get it out of my mind...

No—but I did buy some more pretty early on. I have as much as I can stomach right now. I figured I would mimic the best half of BRK.

I did, however, play some spxl again, and more than last time. Although it wasn’t the biggest gainer on the day, I did well, I sold at the close. VIX is as close to a sure thing intraday as I have ever seen, so far.

I thought about playing tsla instead, but didn’t. Next VIX time I just might, and I can do that from an ira account so tax won’t be a problem.

spxl is a pure betting vehicle, to me it has no meaning, unlike say aapl or even tsla.

I think we will see more high-vix days. I will play them in the future, but I’m not sure about the very next one. Things seem really unstable to me. My RoW dividend stuff had one brutal day, but regained pretty much everything it lost. I could see it all down 5% by Tuesday. I didn’t sweat the mini-crash, I actually bought more bti and imbby almost at bottom.

My stupid trbcx clawed back a bit.

Inflation! Keep watching it.

Maserati,

Very good. She ate most of it. Mrs. has to be moderate on both consumption and food choice. Traditionally, for decades, Friday night is Pizza delivery. So last night she had an individual pizza and we split a beer. Doing well today. Tonight will be the first day she cooks, which is her passion. Grill some meat and a potato, not too involved. I am cleaning house; I have a couple of more rooms to do which I will complete during the USATF Indoor.

Igyo