How much has the market really priced in the rate hikes coming? I have to think that the market will drop further once the official hike happens come March. I've been buying in small amounts, but I still have quite a bit on hand in case the market drops another 10%. I personally think earnings are going to start looking ugly later this year as people are strapped for disposable income.
How much has the market really priced in the rate hikes coming? I have to think that the market will drop further once the official hike happens come March. I've been buying in small amounts, but I still have quite a bit on hand in case the market drops another 10%. I personally think earnings are going to start looking ugly later this year as people are strapped for disposable income.
You'd have to think it was priced in at this point, but maybe i'm wrong.
It seems the markets are responding more to the fluctuating possibility of a Ukrainian invasion at this point,
btc needs to hold 42k for us to see the next push. Not looking great at the moment.
I see it as risk aversion in a general market sense. Some enthusiasm for BTC on inflation and then Super Bowl ads. Seems to be waning with market sentiment.
btc needs to hold 42k for us to see the next push. Not looking great at the moment.
I see it as risk aversion in a general market sense. Some enthusiasm for BTC on inflation and then Super Bowl ads. Seems to be waning with market sentiment.
I think there's also some worry that anti-Russian sentiment catalyzed by the Ukraine crisis will inspire some anti-money laundering legislation. Russians are neck-deep in BTC crime. And that would put BTC right in the crosshairs. If the criminals holding BTC start to think law enforcement cares about them...they'll sell their BTC and put their ill-begotten gains somewhere else.
I think when the US seized billions of dollars of BTC that opened some eyes in the underworld. Then it was reinforced as Russia scores a self-goal in Ukraine.
How much has the market really priced in the rate hikes coming? I have to think that the market will drop further once the official hike happens come March. I've been buying in small amounts, but I still have quite a bit on hand in case the market drops another 10%. I personally think earnings are going to start looking ugly later this year as people are strapped for disposable income.
I don't have much invested in the market but have lost $6k in net worth since November because of it, I pay myself first ($600 a month or so) into the market but I know I can't pull out because it could go back up. It's just very volatile.
It's not all Biden's fault, or most of it, but that is a factor.
times like these, remember that we survived the bloody cuban missile crisis.
Anyone else heard this story?
Dude is on a trading floor during the Cuban crisis. He has a set of sell orders ready to call in, in case he hears the missiles have begun flying. His boss sees them and tears them up angrily. Asked for an explanation, the boss says 'you BUY when the stories of missiles start flying! You buy! If the stories are true then we'll all be dead in 15 minutes so it won't matter and if the rumours are false we just bought a lot of cheap stocks!"
I'll say one thing - when emerging does start outperforming the US, 90% of portfolios will lag. Anyone who gets this right will have a righteous claim to major alpha.
the wild west is going to be more civilized. Eventually. The crooks aren't pleased and are selling BTC, triggering stops across the metaverse.
President Biden is expected to issue an executive order next week directing agencies across the government to study cryptocurrencies and a central bank digital currency (CBDC), and come up with a government-wide strategy to regulate digital assets. According to an administration official familiar with the matter, the forthcoming directive will commission a study of a CBDC and ask a range of agencies – including the Departments of Treasury, State, Justice and Homeland Security – to develop a report on the future of money and payment systems. Meanwhile, the Director of the Office of Science and Tech policy will do a technical evaluation of what might be needed to support a CBDC system.
How much has the market really priced in the rate hikes coming? I have to think that the market will drop further once the official hike happens come March. I've been buying in small amounts, but I still have quite a bit on hand in case the market drops another 10%. I personally think earnings are going to start looking ugly later this year as people are strapped for disposable income.
You'd have to think it was priced in at this point, but maybe i'm wrong.
It seems the markets are responding more to the fluctuating possibility of a Ukrainian invasion at this point,
Yeah Geek, that is a big question that has been weighing on my mind. I think that most of it has been priced in, but that if that accelerate the pace, there will be a negative short-term reaction. I think they should just stick to the program they have announced, even though that will leave things lopsidedly accommodative.
It will be if and whenever they announce rate increases for 2023 that the s will hit the fan.
And don’t forget the balance sheet, it will be hard to shrink without losing some measure of control. Maybe it goes down and then plateaus, or rises again, or ends up choppy. Too many unknowns at this point.