Harambe wrote:
joed|rtt wrote:
it is no wonder that the CDC / TDSHS is so incongruous with data from Israel, the UK, etc. It is deliberate statistical manipulation.
1) The data are not incongruous with Israel and UK data. The data from these 3 places all show 90% or greater efficacy against severe disease. You just can't do statistics.
I am aware that vaccination decreases the odds of hospitalization and death (although the reality is it is by a factor of 3-4, not a factor of 12-40 like the other poster was claiming). As far as circulating cases and ending the pandemic, though, it's not the reality. Heck, most of the omicron cases in Israel are among triple vaccinated individuals.
Let's take a look at some of the CDC claims and compare them to data from other countries:
CDC claim - unvaccinated individuals are 5 times more likely to have a case of COVID than a vaccinated individual.
UK week 48 surveillance data (for vaccinated age groups):
Age 18-29 - unvaccinated case rate = 868.6, vaccinated case rate = 794.3 (unvaccinated slightly more likely to have a case)
Age 30-39 - unvaccinated case rate = 1000.1, vaccinated case rate = 1,439.8 (vaccinated more likely to have a case)
Age 40-49 - unvaccinated case rate = 937.5, vaccinated case rate = 2,026.6 (vaccinated rate more than double)
Age 50-59 - unvaccinated case rate = 711.2, vaccinated case rate = 1,404.8 (vaccinated rate almost double)
Age 60-69 - unvaccinated case rate = 518.3, vaccinated case rate = 933.3 (vaccinated rate almost double)
Age 70-79 - unvaccinated case rate = 421.6, vaccinated case rate = 409.0 (unvaccinated slightly more likely to have a case)
Age 80+ - unvaccinated case rate = 437.3, vaccinated case rate = 265.5 (unvaccinated more likely to have a case)
CDC Claim = FALSE (highly misleading due to willingly classifying vaccinated cases as unvaccinated)
2) Many states and counties track these data:
If they are tracking it using the same statistical issues that I already noted in Texas (which is highly likely), then that data would be riddled with errors as well. The CDC officially stopped counting cases in May, so what is likely in the analysis that shows gaping disparities not recorded in other countries is that the counties that are not differentiating between vaccinated and unvaccinated cases are simply lumped in with the unvaccinated cases when the state does its total summations in addition to issues with vaccine records not being updated, which is bad statistics. Not to mention counting data from January, February, March, when the vaccination rate was extraordinarily low and many people under 60 were not even eligible for vaccination is grossly going to overstate the efficacy of the vaccines).
https://coronavirus.health.ny.gov/covid-19-breakthrough-datahttps://www.vdh.virginia.gov/coronavirus/see-the-numbers/covid-19-in-virginia/covid-19-cases-by-vaccination-status/https://www.sandiegocounty.gov/content/dam/sdc/hhsa/programs/phs/Epidemiology/COVID-19%20Case%20Summary%20by%20Vaccination%20Status.pdf3) I encourage everyone to read the actual report from Texas HHS. They break out vaccine efficacy calculations by age group, thus eliminating the confounding the the above poster is referring to. Also, let's imagine that many immunizations are not reported to Texas HHS. Thus we are comparing two pools of people (vaxxed and reported) and (vaxxed and not reported + unvaxxed). Unless you think the vaccine is actively causing more severe COVID cases (it's not), you'd expect the vaxxed people miscategorized as unvaxxed to be improving the severe case rate of the unvaxxed population, thus narrowing the gap between unvaxxed and vaxxed.
Thus, under this scenario (I have no clue if it's accurate, but it's what the poster above is alleging) the numbers in the document are an underestimate of vaccine efficacy, from what I can tell. Nice!
https://www.dshs.texas.gov/immunize/covid19/data/Cases-and-Deaths-by-Vaccination-Status-11082021.pdfIn short the poster above is continuing their trend of trying to discredit the overwhelming amount of data that proves their pet theory wrong. I wish them luck.