was-a-happy-seed wrote:
Folks here seem reluctant to acknowledge this, however implausible does not infer impossible.
On the contrary, the underlying reason for some of these pork, truck, dinner night out, wrong meat coincidences is the mathematics of chance.
It's inevitable that one of the set of all possible outcomes must occur, and in Houlihan's case, maybe did occur.
Consider this: An outcome which has a tiny chance of occurring becomes almost certain if you give it enough opportunities. How many combinations of time and circumstance did it take for that one chance to manifest itself through Houlihan? Who knows when the clock began ticking and the stars began aligning, but it certainly may have been Houlihan's turn to experience the improbable.
For all of you who've assumed that Houlihan's events are independent, consider the fact that the occurrence of one makes the other more likely.
Sure, it's absurdly unlikely but theoretically possible that all of these extraordinarily rare occurrences would align (many of which are indeed independent). But the theoretical possibility shouldn't lead you to wager confidence that indeed this particular incident is where the 1 in a million event happened. It's theoretically possible that red 36 could come up four consecutive times on a roulette wheel, but I'm not betting any reasonable amount of money that it WILL in fact happen today at 9 P.M.
What you are essentially asking is for me to believe it will happen because it's possible, because that's about how likely it is that Shelby's burrito is actually to blame, when it's far more likely she just doped. Further, she never gave any real evidence that all of these absurdly rare events had any reason to occur. If somehow she linked this truck to a manufacturer or butcher with known rarities, then perhaps. But she didn't, so it's just a wild story that anyone could fabricate, so she's stuck with the verdict that she highly likely deserves.
