Alright, with 10 days left until state, here are my final predictions (and times) for the boys side.
100M - Paul Kuhner 10.3x
200M - Brandon Arrington 20.7x, unless he can step up his game in the 100 because he should be running way faster in that event if he can manage 20.64 right now.
400M - Tough one because they all been kinda on and off (plus Hansen is out apparently), but I'm gonna go with Dylan Ochoa possibly around 46.7x
800M - Ambodai Ligons for sure. I think he'll go under 1:50.
1600M - Fast Horse. Overtook Dybdahl in the mile at SS divisionals and has a slightly better PR this year. It'll be close, but I'll go with him.
3200M - Emmanuel Perez? 👀 unless he scratches are pursues the mile.
4x100M - De La Salle. I know GHC is at 40.29 right now, but I think one of their runners got hurt as they've been running 41-42's recently with a different anchor. De La Salle hasn't changed and they ran 40.8 at SMOC, to follow up with a 41.3 at their league champ.
4x400M - Cathedral, honestly I think they're the most stacked in CA right now. Once they race against the top guys they'll pop off.
4x800M - Idec, who gives a sh!t about this race lol.
100: Benjamin Harris (Yeah, I said it!) 10.4
200: Brandon Arrington 20.5ish (based off his times he should be a low 46 runner, not doing the 100)
400: Ricks 47.3 but this one is honestly a tossup. It's always a battle between someone from Poly or Wilson, someone from norcal, and whoever goes 46 at masters
800: Bodi either 1:49L or 1:52 depending on the weather
1600: Tossup between fasthorse and dybdahl. If the pace is fast then fasthorse, if its a kickers race then dybdahl.
3200: Noonan 8:43 but lets see how everyone looks at masters
4x100: Yeah, looks like their anchor Martin DNF'd at league finals. That is very unfortunate since I think they had a real shot at going under 40. I think De La Salle takes it then, 40.8ish
4x400: Wilson does NOT mess around when it comes to the 4x400
4x800 (I care!!!): San Clemente, Wilson dark horse but a 4x400 4x800 double is gonna be tough for sure
800 Ligons looks very good but that sophomore from Wilson might surprise us. Maybe some one from up North will bring it as well
1600 this one is open it will likely be tactical so anyone can take it. Great field, I like Felix on this one over Fasthorse.
3200 Parra doubled at Masters and he's dropping the 1600. Noonan ran Masters fresh and closed out with a 55 on his final lap. Parra still ran a 56 final lap and led the whole race. I give the edge to Parra if he runs it fresh. Also expect Bell to be in it since he did very well at Arcadia.
Missed my comments- Jaelyn Williams with a nice double: 4:40.29, edging Chiara Dailey's 4:42.26, and then 10:15.40. Three under 2:08, with Busswell FTW in 2:07.12. Angel Cordero runs 1:52.02 and Brandon Arrington rides a 3.1 wind to 20.40.
200: Brandon Arrington 20.5ish (based off his times he should be a low 46 runner, not doing the 100)
400: Ricks 47.3 but this one is honestly a tossup. It's always a battle between someone from Poly or Wilson, someone from norcal, and whoever goes 46 at masters
800: Bodi either 1:49L or 1:52 depending on the weather
1600: Tossup between fasthorse and dybdahl. If the pace is fast then fasthorse, if its a kickers race then dybdahl.
3200: Noonan 8:43 but lets see how everyone looks at masters
4x100: Yeah, looks like their anchor Martin DNF'd at league finals. That is very unfortunate since I think they had a real shot at going under 40. I think De La Salle takes it then, 40.8ish
4x400: Wilson does NOT mess around when it comes to the 4x400
4x800 (I care!!!): San Clemente, Wilson dark horse but a 4x400 4x800 double is gonna be tough for sure
800 Ligons looks very good but that sophomore from Wilson might surprise us. Maybe some one from up North will bring it as well
1600 this one is open it will likely be tactical so anyone can take it. Great field, I like Felix on this one over Fasthorse.
3200 Parra doubled at Masters and he's dropping the 1600. Noonan ran Masters fresh and closed out with a 55 on his final lap. Parra still ran a 56 final lap and led the whole race. I give the edge to Parra if he runs it fresh. Also expect Bell to be in it since he did very well at Arcadia.
For anyone unaware, the heats for the state meet are out:
>800 Ligons looks very good but that sophomore from Wilson might surprise us. Maybe some one from up North will bring it as well
Not sure about NCS or SJS but Evan Gardner of Homestead CCS has been looking really good as of late
>1600 this one is open it will likely be tactical so anyone can take it. Great field, I like Felix on this one over Fasthorse.
Bold pick. I like it. I'm gonna stick with Fasthorse for now, but watch out for Benjamin Bouie for Crystal Springs Uplands CCS who closed a 4:06.9 in a 58ish.
>3200 Parra doubled at Masters and he's dropping the 1600. Noonan ran Masters fresh and closed out with a 55 on his final lap. Parra still ran a 56 final lap and led the whole race. I give the edge to Parra if he runs it fresh. Also expect Bell to be in it since he did very well at Arcadia.
I'm gonna take Noonan, assuming he doesn't fall again. Closing an 8:48 in a 55 is very very impressive.
That's absurd. Heard he played tennis his freshman year too. He's had a really steady progression throughout HS as well so that's a good sign for the next level.
800: Toss-up between L'Mio Edwards and Keaton Robar. Until last Saturday I would pick Edwards but Robar has been on FIRE as of late, I wouldn't be surprised if she breaks 2:05 this weekend.
1600: Is this even a question? Sub 4:28 is on the table honestly if Sadie decides to go all out. However she could just run it easy as to save up for Festival of Miles and that other meet in the Midwest she's running next week.
3200: Ugly toss-up. Jaelyn Williams is my tentative pick but Rylee Blade, Holly Barker, Chiara Dailey, and Maya DeBrouwer have all run sub 10:10 and could all probably put some pressure in the last 800 and give Williams a run for her money. Blade in particular has won the past 3 CIF rounds-there's a good chance that she could win her third state title on Saturday. (I'M NOT WADING INTO THE YOU-KNOW-WHAT CESSPOOL OF A DEBATE AND NEITHER SHOULD ANYONE ELSE IN THIS THREAD)
800 Ligons looks very good but that sophomore from Wilson might surprise us. Maybe some one from up North will bring it as well
1600 this one is open it will likely be tactical so anyone can take it. Great field, I like Felix on this one over Fasthorse.
3200 Parra doubled at Masters and he's dropping the 1600. Noonan ran Masters fresh and closed out with a 55 on his final lap. Parra still ran a 56 final lap and led the whole race. I give the edge to Parra if he runs it fresh. Also expect Bell to be in it since he did very well at Arcadia.
I'll be rooting for Ligons. He deserves it the most. Was runner up last year to a now-BYU athlete who runs 1:49 today. Hope the best for both of them into college.
1600 for sure will be interesting. We sleepin on Dybdahl now?
Missed my comments- Jaelyn Williams with a nice double: 4:40.29, edging Chiara Dailey's 4:42.26, and then 10:15.40. Three under 2:08, with Busswell FTW in 2:07.12. Angel Cordero runs 1:52.02 and Brandon Arrington rides a 3.1 wind to 20.40.
You forgot about Morgan Herbst, who ran 41.54 in the 300H. No other girl in the state has run sub 42 this year, and that was the 3rd time that Herbst has run sub 42.
Anyone know why Summer Wilson has been wearing a different jersey than her JSerra teammates? Everyone else has been wearing the black JS jersey all season while hers is white and says JSerra.
800: Toss-up between L'Mio Edwards and Keaton Robar. Until last Saturday I would pick Edwards but Robar has been on FIRE as of late, I wouldn't be surprised if she breaks 2:05 this weekend.
1600: Is this even a question? Sub 4:28 is on the table honestly if Sadie decides to go all out. However she could just run it easy as to save up for Festival of Miles and that other meet in the Midwest she's running next week.
3200: Ugly toss-up. Jaelyn Williams is my tentative pick but Rylee Blade, Holly Barker, Chiara Dailey, and Maya DeBrouwer have all run sub 10:10 and could all probably put some pressure in the last 800 and give Williams a run for her money. Blade in particular has won the past 3 CIF rounds-there's a good chance that she could win her third state title on Saturday. (I'M NOT WADING INTO THE YOU-KNOW-WHAT CESSPOOL OF A DEBATE AND NEITHER SHOULD ANYONE ELSE IN THIS THREAD)
I don't see how you could forget to include Hanne Thomsen who has a PR of 9:55. She comes in with a jr season PR of 10:16, but keep in mind she hasn't been challenged at all, so I think she could easily go sub-10.
Weather's gonna be beautiful at the state meet this week, Friday forecast to be around 82 tops and Saturday will be REALLY cool with a high as low as 78.