Has Korir raced once since his marathon? Has he been healthy?
Has Korir raced once since his marathon? Has he been healthy?
I think you mean to say “Assume Korir is a lock”. He’s clearly the top seed and rising star going in.
Fauble has no chance. He’ll either run it out East never contending at all or DNF after an early push far outside his fitness.
2nd place is going to be a battle between Ward and Rupp. If something happens to either...
Walmsley ?
Will Nike vapor/next/alpha fly shoes sweep?
June Eastwood
Obviously Korir wrote:
kw1954 wrote:
Agreed.
I have never believed a half marathon is a good predictor of marathon performance.
Some great runners have smoked the half marathon but never figured out the marathon.
Others who have raced a fast half automatically have false confidence that they can double it, add 5-6 minutes and bingo! that's what I'll run a a marathon!
As stated, Walmsley used his 64, 63 as a tempo run, nothing more, nothing less.
His training volume suggests (and only suggests) that he can handle back-to-back 65's if he runs smart.
I concur, if he runs 2:10, he's probably in.
Plus, he knows how to win.
That's why he's in my top 4.
B.S. that his 64 flat qualifier was a 'tempo run'... He was going all out trying to hit a qualifier, he barely got it. I was there and saw the strain on his face and stride, there was nothing casual about it. I wasn't at Arizona, but I imagine that was also a real tester and he was trying to run fast for half marathon, not a 'tempo'.
a half marathon at tempo by definition means it was race pace.
If I'm picking just one more name, I'm probably going with Korir. Ward is super consistent but Korir has more talent and has already run much faster than Ward/Faubs did. He also has run great at the half marathon and has dominated or done well at US Champs from the half down to the 10k.
The marathon is unpredictable but the big 4 are going to be tough to beat. There are so many good guys in the 2:10-2:13 range that I wouldn't be surprised if someone unexpected nabs third. I would think at least 2 of those 4 make the team, if not 3. There are some real, older named, wildcards running. Puskedra, Ritz, Lagat, Vail, etc. Will be interesting to see if they can mix it up.
Rupp, Korir....
Korir, Rupp...
Unless there are any illness/injury issues we aren't aware of.
Was there a Day #3 question yesterday, and I missed it?
there is a transgender athlete in the womans race
Good thon’ buildup = crappy thon. All day long. You want just an ok build up cause otherwise you win the buildup and lose the race...
8 days out / race weather looks like:
42 degrees and sunny - perfect marathon conditions - cold for Atlanta as the average high in late Feb is 59-60 degrees
I would go Korir, too, but hard to say because imo he did have some bad races last year, and hasn’t raced since October...
I say Korir has a better chance at second but Ward a better chance at top 3, if that makes sense.
No one has mentioned Ryan Vail. He's a gamer when healthy and I think he has an outside shot. Rupp - Ward - Vail.