Rupp is in 1:43.5 shape. I doubt he will actually run that time though.
Rupp is in 1:43.5 shape. I doubt he will actually run that time though.
1:46 to win
Rupp may be ABLE to run a fast 800.
I am just thinking about what pros often run at this time of year.
I've seen Holman run 1:48 in this type of situation and he had a 1:44 PR.
Webb never had any fast 800's early on.
To run 1:46 you have to gear towards it.
Fast 300's in practice, backing off the mileage a bit, etc.
I don't know why Rupp would do that in early May.
Though, if he has gotten to another level of speed and can go 1:43/1:44, then 1:46 could be in his legs now without backing off the training and if the race plays that out way.
I could see Wheating at 1:46 right now.
A 1:46 right now for Rupp would be an eye opener for the upcoming season.
But I don't think he or Salazar are even concerned about the time he runs in this 800.
So...
If Rupp runs over 1:47, he will be "done" and will never have a chance of a medal. This will be proof of his lack of finishing speed. If he runs under 1:47 he is doped to the gills.
My opinion (which is worth not much)
If this was right after the 3000, I would say 145.9 at best shape if everything went perfect.
Right now early season, Anything under 1:48 would be simply amazing and I will be eager for july and august. I feel if the race goes right for Rupp he will run a 1:48.3 but will probably run a 1:48.9. Both would be pretty solid performances.
I want to say he will run a 1:49 high 1:50 low, but it makes no sense to get in a race for that kind of performance. He could do a time trial and get that. So by actually running it makes me think he is ready for under 1:48 but tired(heavy) legs put back over 148.
rojo wrote:
4/20 was a few weeks ago.
What is this supposed to mean?? Is Rupp smoking the ganj?
alan webb ran 1:43 when he was in a 3:46 miler. i don't think saying rupp, as a 3:50 miler, can run 1:45, is all that ridiculous.
that said, it IS early season. i'll go with 1:46.00.
Ok youre all going to write me off, I know the rupp haters will, but I am guessing a few fan boys will as well..
I really think he is going to run 1:41.low for the world record. His 3:50 and 26:48 show he has unreal talent. I am serious, I think he his going to grab the WR.
1:48.5-1:50.0 anything faster than 1:48 and I will start believing these thyroid meds are actually performance enhancers. He did run 3:33 at Oxy last year so he is pretty sharp mid distance wise this time of the season, but I doubt he is capable of 1:46 or 1:47 in his season opener.
ppl dont realize that he is a 10k guy. 1:47-1:48 is his range. Im not ventolin with fancy calculators n stuff but sub 1:46 would put him in the 26:20-26:30 range.
If only Jeremy Wariner was in this race, Let's Run would crash.
Its early. 1:48.5 for Rupp. 1:47.0 for Centro. This is a workout.
Ruppshida wrote:
I really think he is going to run 1:41.low for the world record.
1:41.low still doesn't give him the world record.
So are you saying American Record or will he go 1:40.mid?
toro wrote:
Ruppshida wrote:I really think he is going to run 1:41.low for the world record.
1:41.low still doesn't give him the world record.
So are you saying American Record or will he go 1:40.mid?
1:40.low
According to Alltime-Athletics, no one has even been sub-26:50 at 10k and also sub 1:46.00 at 800m. I'm thinking 1:48.00 plus or minus a few tenths for Rupp.
heat sheets http://tinyurl.com/cx8q656
Did ya'll smell that i think he just shit himself!!
A Duck wrote:
No doubt he is capable of 143.high
Why doesn't Rupp go for a 400? I'd like to see that 47-48 speed...that would be much cooler than a 1:45-1:46...
Hell, if he can run 11 for a 100, let's see a 200 in competition...he's that f-ing fast, right?
rofl
this thread is comedic gold
even after my post explaining why Rupp will in no way shape or form run anywhere near 1:46 let alone 1:45 people are still going on about it.
It is MAY you idiots. Do you understand that? Rupp peaks twice per year. MAYBE in August he will be capable of 1:47 flat or so. That is a big maybe. 1:47 mid would be a great time.
Some lines of fit just to show you clowns predicting 1:45/1:46 just how ridiculous you are.
27'00 10k with...
1'48 800m
1500 - 3'32.58
Mile - 3'49.29
3000 - 7'27.39
5000 - 12'52.95
27'00 10k with...
1'47 800m
1500 - 3'31.17
Mile - 3'47.83
3000 - 7'25.60
5000 - 12'51.24
27'00 10k with...
1'46 800m
1500 - 3'29.76
Mile - 3'46.38
3000 - 7'23.81
5000 - 12'49.52
27'00 10k with...
1'45 800m
1500 - 3'28.35
Mile - 3'44.92
3000 - 7'22.03
5000 - 12'47.81
A few points:
1) It is MAY. He may approach those 3k/5k times in the last two lines of fit in July / August or even a bit faster at 5000m. There is no way he is anywhere close to that kind of shape in May.
2) This is assuming 27' 10k endurance which you can bet he has as of right now. He was capable of 26'30 high last year. This year he will likely be in low/flat 26:30 shape or even a bit under in August.
A 1:46 800 with 26'30 10k endurance indicates...
1500 - 3'28.64
Mile - 3'45.04
3000 - 7'19.10
5000 - 12'38.64
In my view a more realistic line for where he may be in August
1'48 / 26"30...
1500 - 3'31.46
Mile - 3'47.95
3000 - 7'22.68
5000 - 12'42.07
In "perfect" race with even pace & wabbits
I believe that Rupp is capable of 1:46 high, but I agree that he will likely run 1:48.
Considering the boxing he's doing, I'm going to predict 1:43.55. Then he'll knock out the second place guy after waiting 5 seconds for him at the line. Tough m-fer