If it were this weekend, it would be completely miserable. Hopefully a cold front will come in next week or we could expect a sufferfest and many drops.
A cold front did come in Sunday and the weather right now is windy but cool and dry, easy to run long. However, there is a warming trend toward the end of the week, before the race, so I expect fair conditions, a bit warm for many of those training in colder places in the winter, but not nearly as bad as last week.
Current dewpoint forecast is 56-57 F. Comfortable.
I don't think finishing a marathoning in 73-degree weather is comfortable no matter what the humidity is.
But yeah Paris will be even hotter so this might choose a better team for Paris than a cooler race would.
Why will Paris be even hotter? The Paris olympic marathon will be run in the morning before the heat of the day, and highs in the summer in Paris are only 78. So it won't be in the 70's for the finish of the Paris marathon.
weird how people are arguing that finishing a marathon in sunny 68 degree weather in the middle of winter is 'not bad'
Yes, yes it is bad. It's not miserable, but it's bad.
But Paris will also be bad.
This post confirms that Marathon runners are total snowflakes. .
Would anyone on the planet feel that an indoor arena with temperature set to 68 degrees is bad conditions to compete in?
of course not.
The only exception would be Marathon runners. They feel they must have outdoor 42 degrees, no humidity, no wind, mild cloud cover and super stack height plated shoes. Otherwise the conditions are bad and unfair.
weird how people are arguing that finishing a marathon in sunny 68 degree weather in the middle of winter is 'not bad'
Yes, yes it is bad. It's not miserable, but it's bad.
But Paris will also be bad.
This post confirms that Marathon runners are total snowflakes. .
Would anyone on the planet feel that an indoor arena with temperature set to 68 degrees is bad conditions to compete in?
of course not.
The only exception would be Marathon runners. They feel they must have outdoor 42 degrees, no humidity, no wind, mild cloud cover and super stack height plated shoes. Otherwise the conditions are bad and unfair.
Two NYC marathons have been run in similar warm temps. Both had slow results. upper 60s is warm for marathoning and takes a toll.
In 2022 the NYC Marathon temp was around 70, so similar. Not sure about dew point so that may be a factor.
winning man: 2:09, which is pretty slow
winning woman: 2:23 less slow but pretty slow.
In 2005 the NYC marathon temp was high 60s. Again, not sure of humidity.
The main problem I see here is that the weather will only slightly affect placement, but will have a moderate affect on times. Times matter because currently the USA only has two spots unlocked.
When people talk about the weather bloodbath about to ensue, it's because there will be people going for the auto qualified standard and be utterly wiped out. They will also tow more people with them trying to stay with the pack trying to achieve 2:08:10.
There are likely only 5-6 guys that "could" run the standard on a humid day, but there will be 15-20 on pace through halfway. In all likelihood, no one runs the standard and the two guys with it will lay off the pace until it's time to grab podium spots. The third spot (outside of Young/Mantz), won't make the road to Olympic top 85 or whatever because spring marathon season hasn't even started and a ton of guys will run in better conditions than Orlando.
+1
Rooting for chaos. Love the Chelimo unknown. How many miles are run at or under 2:08:10 pace? Do they make it much past the 20k at that clip? Imagine the mid race calculus after 2:08 is out the window is being in position late to answer a serious move and be top 3 (not 3) across the line under 2:11:30.
Is there a thread about what people are doing in Orlando during this week. ProBowl has events going on starting Thursday. A few of my friends are going to House of Blues Friday night for the Grace Potter concert. Then there's that marathon thing. Not sure what will be going on Saturday night. Flag football game for Sunday. Riding 40 miles Monday before checkout.
Temperatures average as high as 82°F (28°C) in August, with nighttime lows rarely dropping below 72°F (22°C). Afternoon thunderstorms occur almost every day which, while providing a welcome relief from the heat, can be quite violent. The Central Florida region—which includes Orlando and surrounds—has what is called a humid subtropical climate. This type of climate zone is defined by hot and humid summers and very mild winters Most forecasts are not accurate more than 4 or 5 days out. You need to wait until the end of this week at the earliest before you get really concerned about any forecast. There has been a lot of rain in the Orlando area this past week, but prior to that I don't think there was much rain there the past couple of months.
