JWH wrote:
"Predictions:
1. Jakob Ingebrigtsen 7:25.2 AR
2. Selemon Barega 7:26.0
3. Stewart McSweyn 7:26.9 AR
4. Jacob Kiplimo 7:28.7
5. Nicholas Kimeli 7:29.8
6. Paul Chelimo 7:32.3
7. Mohammed Ahmed 7:33.6
8. Jacob Krop 7:33.7
9. Lamecha Girma 7:33.9
10. Birhanu Balew 7:34.9
11. Berihu Aregawi 7:35.0
12. Abel Kipsang 7:37.4
13. Muktar Edris 7:46.0
14. Jonas Raess 7:49.9
Filip Ingebrigtsen DNF
Right on 4:59 at 2K for the top guys. McSweyn leads the penultimate lap in 59.0, (6:28.0 at the bell); Jakob once again take over with 250 to go and Barega follows but doesn’t seriously challenge, losing a few meters in the homestretch. Chelimo tries to hang with the lead and grits out a 2:32 final K, while Ahmed hangs back through 2k and closes well for a fine PR, albeit 3-5 seconds off what he’s capable of on his best days. Strong but not spectacular performance for Kiplimo in 4th. Filip runs 3:47 through 1500 and steps off the track; Edris is off the back early, clearly not in top form."
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I think and hope Jonas Raess is the second pacemaker! If not the pacemaking will finish early (I can´t imagine Sowinski can run longer than 1000-1200m).
As stated above it had been rumoured that they will try to go 59 per lap. I hope McSweyn or one of the Africans will keep the pace high when the last pacemaker drops out.
I predict Jakob will go all in from the front about 600-400m out.