The RCP betting market avg is even more fun to look at:
Trump 55.8
Brandon 18.0 (cut in half in the last 5 days)
I went to PredictIT to see what the betting odds are and it's Trump $.59, Harris $.23, and Biden $.21. The headlines on Drudge make it sound like a done deal. RCP is filled with articles about Joe stepping down. Politico is still running articles like "Dems push back on calls to replace Biden."
Odds are pretty good that Biden announces that he is withdrawing from the presidential race sometime over the weekend. His inner circle is starting to realize that they will never be able to unring the bell of the debate performance and all the stories coming out about efforts to conceal his cognitive decline.
I would also expect that Dems will announce a mini primary to replace Biden and Kamala will end up getting nominated at the convention. She will pick Whitmer as her VP.
If you are looking at polls right now and think that Trump has it in the bag, just remember that Clinton polled ahead of Trump nearly the entire campaign in 2016. A lot will ride on what will be the focus of a Harris campaign. If she can focus in on bread and butter economics and fight back against right wing anti-woke rhetoric by focusing on how extreme the right is, then she will have a shot. If she tries a Hilary Clinton 2.0 where she hopes that not being Trump is enough to get elected, she will lose.
Odds are pretty good that Biden announces that he is withdrawing from the presidential race sometime over the weekend. His inner circle is starting to realize that they will never be able to unring the bell of the debate performance and all the stories coming out about efforts to conceal his cognitive decline.
I would also expect that Dems will announce a mini primary to replace Biden and Kamala will end up getting nominated at the convention. She will pick Whitmer as her VP.
If you are looking at polls right now and think that Trump has it in the bag, just remember that Clinton polled ahead of Trump nearly the entire campaign in 2016. A lot will ride on what will be the focus of a Harris campaign. If she can focus in on bread and butter economics and fight back against right wing anti-woke rhetoric by focusing on how extreme the right is, then she will have a shot. If she tries a Hilary Clinton 2.0 where she hopes that not being Trump is enough to get elected, she will lose.
There won’t be primaries. If Biden steps aside, there will be a free for all for his delegates, at the convention. If Biden refuses to do so, it will be next to impossible to prevent him from being the nominee.
Trump is a terrible candidate and the only thing that gives him a chance of winning is concerns over Biden’s mental acuity. There are many democrat senators and governors that could beat him.
There won’t be primaries. If Biden steps aside, there will be a free for all for his delegates, at the convention. If Biden refuses to do so, it will be next to impossible to prevent him from being the nominee.
This whole thing is a sham. Biden should have resigned well before primary season. But, the Democrats don't really hold primaries, they hold coronations. So there will be a back-room deal to push forward a candidate, while they and the media portray the Republicans as "threats to democracy".
Odds are pretty good that Biden announces that he is withdrawing from the presidential race sometime over the weekend. His inner circle is starting to realize that they will never be able to unring the bell of the debate performance and all the stories coming out about efforts to conceal his cognitive decline.
I would also expect that Dems will announce a mini primary to replace Biden and Kamala will end up getting nominated at the convention. She will pick Whitmer as her VP.
If you are looking at polls right now and think that Trump has it in the bag, just remember that Clinton polled ahead of Trump nearly the entire campaign in 2016. A lot will ride on what will be the focus of a Harris campaign. If she can focus in on bread and butter economics and fight back against right wing anti-woke rhetoric by focusing on how extreme the right is, then she will have a shot. If she tries a Hilary Clinton 2.0 where she hopes that not being Trump is enough to get elected, she will lose.
There won’t be primaries. If Biden steps aside, there will be a free for all for his delegates, at the convention. If Biden refuses to do so, it will be next to impossible to prevent him from being the nominee.
Trump is a terrible candidate and the only thing that gives him a chance of winning is concerns over Biden’s mental acuity. There are many democrat senators and governors that could beat him.
Kamala couldn't get .5% of the vote in the 2020 Democratic primary.
Democrats don't even like her she won't do well with independents.
None of the hypocritical COVID lockdown candidates like Whitmer or Newsom will do well with independents.
The democrats have shifted so far to the left none of their candidates are electable even with Donald Trump as the opponent.
There won’t be primaries. If Biden steps aside, there will be a free for all for his delegates, at the convention. If Biden refuses to do so, it will be next to impossible to prevent him from being the nominee.
Trump is a terrible candidate and the only thing that gives him a chance of winning is concerns over Biden’s mental acuity. There are many democrat senators and governors that could beat him.
Kamala couldn't get .5% of the vote in the 2020 Democratic primary.
Democrats don't even like her she won't do well with independents.
None of the hypocritical COVID lockdown candidates like Whitmer or Newsom will do well with independents.
The democrats have shifted so far to the left none of their candidates are electable even with Donald Trump as the opponent.
Democrat nominees are always moderates, and whoever is chosen, will be one as well. Whoever it is, I don’t see any votes changing to Trump. Meanwhile, Trump is extreme in his views. You’re biased and are not looking at the situation, objectively.
