Hempstead and Johnston will be 1st and 2nd well clear of 3rd.
Dbq Senior should be in the mix. I'd pick them over Hempstead based on returning varsity runners. Since I think Hempstead lost 3, 5, 6, 7 to graduation they will need some incoming studs or some JV runners who step it up; their #5 last year was their MVP in my mind as she made huge strides from junior to senior year and she made the Mustangs unbeatable in 2022. Hempstead will have a second Leitzen and a second Henneberry this year and if they run like their sisters... they could be really good. That Senior pack will be tough, and if they all can improve just a bit over last year or a few have breakout seasons they could push Johnston. Johnston still has to be considered the favorite, though.
I don't think Senior will be among the top 3 teams. Three other schools are capable of scoring less than 25 points through 3 runners. That is tough to beat. It will all come down to their 4/5's, and Johnston's depth makes them the favorite. On the other hand, there were some big improvements in track. It will be interesting to see how it translates to xc.
I agree. The state is not deep. Most of the top 1500/3000 meter runners graduated so having 3 front runners on a team is likely where the difference will happen because average girls will not put up big numbers for 4th and 5th.
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I think Cedar Falls will beat Ankeny if transfer Aldamak gets to run for their varsity.
Johnston ahead of Valley? Not sure about that. Valley returns there 1-4 + another 10:11 3200 runner. Johnston lost their 1-3 but they did develop some depth during track. They always seem to have guys come out of nowhere. But they will need to developer some front runners.
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I think Cedar Falls will beat Ankeny if transfer Aldamak gets to run for their varsity.
Johnston ahead of Valley? Not sure about that. Valley returns there 1-4 + another 10:11 3200 runner. Johnston lost their 1-3 but they did develop some depth during track. They always seem to have guys come out of nowhere. But they will need to developer some front runners.
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