Gwen is a competitor and she will run the time she needs to win. It is not the time for a time trial, it's to get her feet wet in a longer distance.
Gwen is a competitor and she will run the time she needs to win. It is not the time for a time trial, it's to get her feet wet in a longer distance.
so her baby will be year old by PGH - when does the baby boost end? is CIM too far away?
she is suddenly performing better than ever before and it's not just the vaporflys
she needs to break 1:13 by a bit to prove she can make it to tokyo
apparently she doesn't have a half PR yet, 1:13 is the B qualifier
baby boost wrote:
so her baby will be year old by PGH - when does the baby boost end? is CIM too far away?
she is suddenly performing better than ever before and it's not just the vaporflys
she needs to break 1:13 by a bit to prove she can make it to tokyo
apparently she doesn't have a half PR yet, 1:13 is the B qualifier
www.iaaf.org/athletes/united-states/gwen-jorgensen-245384
Once again: Gwen ran 53 minutes at TC10 before she was pregnant and before she retired from triathlon. Twin Cities is a hilly course. That's equivalent to 1:11 or better on a flat half course. There is nothing surprising about her recent performances. She has already proven she can make it to Tokyo. Anyone with her PRs is on the shortlist of contenders to make the team, period.
Honestly, sometimes it's like people are just making up a narrative without paying any attention to the actual facts.
800 dude wrote:
... That's equivalent to 1:11 or better on a flat half course. There is nothing surprising about her recent performances. She has already proven she can make it to Tokyo. Anyone with her PRs is on the shortlist of contenders to make the team, period.
You seem confused about how the Olympics work.
Proving you're fast enough to make the Trials does *not* prove you will go to the Games.
You have to actually compete at the Trials and place high enough.
I recommend you review the W100H from 2016 to understand the different; the fastest W100H in history did not make the team and did not go to the Games.
Her 31:55 is worth 1144 in the IAAF tables. She probably could have done a bit faster and she ran in flats (albeit fast ones). The Half for 1144 is 1:10:07, which is dead on what people have been saying. However, given the way she ran it and the gains since then, using the 31:55 for a road time is probably a better conversion point. That yields a 1:09:20.
Since she is a racer if there is a front group hitting about 1:08:45-1:09:30 pace I think she will go with that. If some go out at 67+ pace she might go and see what happens. That is likely to give her a slower time as she fades at the end (especially with the climb at 11 miles) but it might lead to a 68:00-68:30. There are not too many coaches that I place ahead of Jerry. Still, this is a race on the way of developing her racing/training plan. She would not be doing it if they thought that she could not hit 1:10, I do not think. However, that is why the run the races.
Changing my prediction - I think she goes 1:08:43
Hurck wrote:
70:18
I was a very close second on this thread and won the Rupp prediction thread (posting as "Grrrr") so I am now officially a prediction force to be reckoned with.
Now if I could only predict my next username...