wtfunny wrote:
Ritz Raff wrote:How do you know what kind of shape everyone is in?
Well, I don't. But we've all seen most of those guys run plenty of times, and neither Mo or Asbel have ever showed they can the kind of times Vent predicted. And rarely do athletes at this level peak for their first meet of the season.
Here's something on Mo. His 1500m pb is nearly 3 seconds slower then el G. His 5000m pb is SLOWER than el G. What makes anyone think his 3000m time will be 1-2 seconds faster than el G ran in a race rabbeted specifically go after the world record?
Or, Mo's 1500m pb is marginally faster than Daniel Komen's; his 5000m pb is 14 seconds SLOWER than Komen's. Do you really think Mo is going to run within 2 seconds of Komen's 3000m wr, possibly his greatest ever performance? In the middle of May?
I agree that he won't run that fast, but you're comparing Komen's and El G's later PBs to a time they ran earlier. When Komen ran 7:20, his PBs were 3:34 and 12:46, when El G ran his time, his PBs were 3:26 and 13:46. So you must allow for the possibility that Mo will improve on his PB in the future as well.