Hello again Antonio!
Antonio, I have to admit that I agree with Pete here:
I would expect that for most runners, their avg % of max HR during a marathon would be fairly similar, but their ACTUAL average HR for the marathon always being nearly the same(your data).....that seems odd to me. But maybe I am mistaken of course. Yet I seem to constantly read that runners (depending age, sex, and other genetic differences) have very widely differing max HR's. I would therefore not expect runners who have very different max HR's, and who are running at the same effort to have the same average HR's during a race…..would you? But that is what you found and it suggests that one’s MAX HR is pretty meaningless for a runner to know, and that AVG HR values are consistent for all, and, since it would be the same for all, could be used by everyone to train/race by(no matter what your max is, and therefore throw the concept of % of max HR out). Now all of that surprises me.
Is it possible we are misinterpreting Renato’s data? Let’s read it again:
"Marathon runners of significantly different levels HAVE BEEN FOUND to have similar values for max HR and for HR at anaerobic threshold; it is therefore probable that the limiting factor as regards the amount of blood that can be conveyed from the lungs to the muscles lies for the most part in stroke output."
"…HAVE BEEN FOUND…" Does that mean that:
1) marathon runners of different levels are REGULARLY(almost always) FOUND to have similar values for Max HR and for HR at anaerobic threshold (and thus likely they race at the same avg HR for a marathon)?? OR…….Does it mean that:
2) marathon runners of different levels SOMETIMES(they exist) have the same values for max HR and for HR and anaerobic threshold??
I think it means the latter. And thus, in my opinion, Renato’s point about his data is: there is more to performance than max HR and HR at AT (i.e., AT as a % of max HR), and another variable is STROKE OUTPUT.
I don’t think Renato’s statement is trying to address Joe’s question of:
"Would the heart rate for several athlete's competing in the same event, racing in the same time, all running at max effort have the same or very similar heart rates during the event?"
No, in fact, Renato’s information addresses a question that would go like this:
"Would the PERFORMANCES (times) be similar for several athlete’s all running at max effort and each setting a PR in the marathon who each have the SAME MAX HR AND SAME HR AT ANAEROBIC THRESHOLD ? "
And I think that many might answer THAT question intuitively with a "yes", while Renato shows us it is SOMETIMES a big fat no." (and by this he demonstrates that having an Anaerobic Threshold that occurs at a high(or low) % of max HR is not as significant as some think. If one’s "stroke output" is weak(or strong), performance might not be as strong(or weak) as one might expect)
So Joe, I think Renato’s data is not what you want to answer YOUR question. I think Pete’s and Antonio’s is. Based on their info, the answer appears to be: "OFTEN the HR AVG’s are the same(Antonio’s data), BUT…..clearly there are many cases where they are NOT the same(Pete’s and many others). " So maybe 65-75% of the time the answer is a yes ( a rough estimate), but certainly NOT a consistent yes. There are a good chunk of instances (with runners with widely varying max HR’s) where your answer will be no, and since runners are individuals, that might be the most important thing to get from your inquiry.