I think it’ll be a faster race (close to 27:00) and Kiplimo drops the field and will win. But in a slow race and if they get to the lead at the bell Cheptegei or Barega will probably win again
I think the 10k will be fast - sub 27. The Ethiopian10k trials were savage, and they have the runners to push the pace. Kiplimo and Cheptegei will get to ride along. Hard to say who wins this! Last four laps will probably be sub 4. Would love to see Fisher medal but he's going to need positioning with the front group as they start the final 5 laps.
I think Kejelcha could pull out the gold, but don't count out Chep in his favorite event.
Remember that Fisher has run 26:33. A fast race where he can sit benefits him in my view.
I think the 10k will be fast - sub 27. The Ethiopian10k trials were savage, and they have the runners to push the pace. Kiplimo and Cheptegei will get to ride along. Hard to say who wins this! Last four laps will probably be sub 4. Would love to see Fisher medal but he's going to need positioning with the front group as they start the final 5 laps.
I think Kejelcha could pull out the gold, but don't count out Chep in his favorite event.
Remember that Fisher has run 26:33. A fast race where he can sit benefits him in my view.
That was certainly under the influence of PEDs so I'm subjectively striking out his 26:33 in my book alright???
I don't know what's Fisher's real 10k PB probably outside 27minutes and nowhere near sub 27.
Besides with Fisher's limp display in the trials at 10k, he is bound to get smoked so hard in the Olympic final!!!
That was certainly under the influence of PEDs so I'm subjectively striking out his 26:33 in my book alright???
I don't know what's Fisher's real 10k PB probably outside 27minutes and nowhere near sub 27.
Besides with Fisher's limp display in the trials at 10k, he is bound to get smoked so hard in the Olympic final!!!
You are aware he ran 26:52 this year right? in a race he won with ease
Yes I am, yes he won with ease, but I know I can't be sure in everything about Fisher. I don't how when he uses it (PED) and when he doesn't and therefore runs less well and with less ease. His 10k trials was so ugly and horrifying compared to the 26:52 that I have to fall back on the former as the clean effort and the latter as the dirty one. A truly clean 26:52 Fisher would be desecrating the trials 10k with at least a 54 last lap at 27:50 tortoise pace, or otherwise running 27:22 and winning it with a still fast 56 (at least) last lap unchallenged. And his biomechanical movement patterns should demonstrate consummate ease and not be that ugly and repulsive as the one we saw in the last lap. His whole body is like retreating into a shell in the last lap with stride steps so small as if saying "I don't want this no more" when it should be like Kenenisa Bekele of old 'loping with huge stride' and swallowing up the ground in front of him with elegant biomechanics and ease.
I know a runner when he has it and when he doesn't have it, when he is clean and when he isn't. I just need to pay attention to his biomechanical movement patterns in space and time. Maybe I have developed a special knack for such unconventional methods of inquiry???
This post was edited 4 minutes after it was posted.
I think the 10k will be fast - sub 27. The Ethiopian10k trials were savage, and they have the runners to push the pace. Kiplimo and Cheptegei will get to ride along. Hard to say who wins this! Last four laps will probably be sub 4. Would love to see Fisher medal but he's going to need positioning with the front group as they start the final 5 laps.
I think Kejelcha could pull out the gold, but don't count out Chep in his favorite event.
How many years do we have to hear about the Ethiopians pushing the pace until they actually do it? Will be close to 80 degrees at race time, this will be a 27:00+ race
A Barega, Kejelcha, Aregawi and even the washed up Cheptegei would be closing a 27:50-28:00 10k race in at least 52 seconds flat, and only really kicking in the last 400m like the type of race narrative seen at the US 10k trials.
Jonathan Gault already observed Barega sand-bagging a 26:34 in Spain at the Ethiopian 10k trials and 'jogging it in' and 'taking it easy' in the final 400m in 56-57 seconds, while Kejelcha and Aregawi ran 54seconds. And to see Fisher painfully go all-out to the line in only 58.1 seconds in a 27:50-28:00 type 10k race is just so painful!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Fisher had better get back on the PED that led him to his 26:33 and to some extent also his 26:52 at Sound Running 10k (likely doped up to some extent). I think he closed his 26:33 in 56-57 seconds if I'm not wrong!!!!!
So as you can see, there is a world of a PED difference between the fake Fisher who closed a 26:33 in 56-57 seconds and the real Fisher who only closed a 27:50 10k race in 58-59 seconds and with such ugly rendition of biomechanics!!! Simply so obvious!!!!
This post was edited 1 minute after it was posted.
I think the 10k will be fast - sub 27. The Ethiopian10k trials were savage, and they have the runners to push the pace. Kiplimo and Cheptegei will get to ride along. Hard to say who wins this! Last four laps will probably be sub 4. Would love to see Fisher medal but he's going to need positioning with the front group as they start the final 5 laps.
I think Kejelcha could pull out the gold, but don't count out Chep in his favorite event.
How many years do we have to hear about the Ethiopians pushing the pace until they actually do it? Will be close to 80 degrees at race time, this will be a 27:00+ race
This year will finally be the year the 3 Ethiopians push the pace from the gun. I truly believe.