NCAA will be done in 5 years.

And this will be why the NCAA will have no more power moving forward

But define power...what power do they have now and what do they lose?

They hold power over every school with BS rules and regulations and enforcement

The NCAA will collapse it’s just a matter of time. I think 5 years is about right

Football money directly goes to conferences and individual schools.

NCAA is mostly funded by the basketball tv contract. And their current contract covers up to 2032. That means NCAA will not go away for at least another eight years.

They have been De-Facto Minor Leagues for the NFL or NBAforever, maybe from the beginning.

Yes the basketball TV deal doesn’t expire for a while.

BUT, the super league can break away and make their own deal for a different tournament pretty much killing the NCAA tournament

Maybe. But I really don't see that happening. There too many basketball schools that either don't play football or do it at a much lower level. You can't claim that you're national champion if your tournament doesn't have the Big East schools, Gonzaga,etc. And a big part of the Tournament's appeal is watching for the 15-2 kind of upset.

I sure hope so. I have heard so many possibilities. Hopefully they make a two tiered system.

let the schools choose to pay who the want to pay and let the rest stay unpaid with NIL

I think this is the correct take.

NAIA and NJCAA exist. There will be demand for governance for the universities that aren't in the Power Conferences (whatever we will call them, and whether there are two or three or four of them) after they start their own basketball tournament, having already cornered the football money.

I see a world in which the NCAA governs what we would call the DIvision I mid-majors (which will absorb schools that don't make the cut into the Power Conferences), Division II and Division III.

The colleges meet to define the rules and the NCAA just enforces them.

Most rules centered around trying to create an equal playing field between schools, keeping recruitment equitable and maintaining some semblance of academic effort from athletes.

Even a breakaway league will need some structure to ensure that results are not simply based on who pays athletes the most. That is the purpose of salary caps in pro sports. If it's pure money based and some teams have no chance, fans lose interest.

Shut down the board. This is the best thing ever posted.

Until 1973 there were no Divisions 1,2, or 3.There was a University Division and a College Division. If the Power 4 schools go off by themselves I could see the NCAA going back to that sort of arrangements with D1-AA football schools and schools from the bigger D2 programs in the University Division and smaller D2 programs and current D3 schools in the College Division.

I don’t get all the hand wringing over NIL. Colleges can and do pay coaches whatever they want, but you guys get all bent out of shape if athletes can now be paid whatever they are worth.

No one complains when FAANG hires top talent and pays the most for them. From a running perspective your top talent are only going to go to a handful of schools anyway. This isn’t changing anything.

The PS football coach’s are cry babies 😭 because these kids can go wherever they want. Bottom line if a kid doesn’t want to be someplace and they don’t like you tuff sh!t. However at the end of the day it’s about money and the NCAA is losing lawsuits left and right. They won’t survive more than 5 - 6 years. it will be club sports in the US for HS kids.

The enrollment collapse is going to annihilate a lot of these schools. And it is gender based. Men only makeup about 35 percent of college students and that percentage is dropping more than 1 percent a year and shows no signs of slowing down.

Most of these places will be lucky to keep the lights on in 5 years.

The entire college sports thing is so bloated and operating operating in such a false market that it was ripe for disruption. It's about time it happened. The whole thing needs a massive ReSet.

1. the big football schools leave and form their own Premier League.

2. the schools left behind realign their conferenced back to something that makes geographic sense.

3. the new / old conferences can then re-evaluate and see what sports they are going to continue to fund.

4. this new league that has been regulated down, can actually return to the original intent of athletic scholarships, so maybe student athlete will actually be STUDENTS and not just pro athletes.

5. maybe some sports DO end up being more of a club model than traditional college athlete model.

The NCAA has the power to limit the number of scholarships your school can give. It can ban your school from post season play meaning you'll lose the revenue that comes from it. It can even shut your team down though this is very rare. It can vacate wins that you've had or titles you've won.

Well, certainly it will continue to change fast like it has the last 20 years. But no, the NCAA letters and organization will, at least in name, always exist.

They do. They have every right to make any money they can off their athletic ability and fame...and many are. I don't know why any NCAA track would go pro early. If you are good enough to peak the interest of major companies you can now have all the benefits of Pro athletics and NCAA athletics simultaneously.

Parker Valby and Nico Young get all the attention and notoriety of a high level elites and are free to garner major sponsorship contracts. And, their domination of a high profile and lower level of competition contributes to their fame. The U of Florida and NAU cover their athletics based costs while simultaneously paying for education, housing, meals and a little bit of extra to boot!

All it costs them is autonomy in meet scheduling, as they do have to suit up for the team/University that allows them these benefits.