Texas 6A Cross Country Predictions?

Austin Vandegrift girls team returns 5 juniors and 1 sophomore. They will be very good in 2023.

They also have another incoming sophomore who ran a 10:30 in the 2-mile at Districts in September.

Watch out for Flower Mound.

They return the following 3200 times:

9:20

9:27

9:28

10:09

10:18

These are the 6A teams that will make it to state out of region 1:
Southlake Carroll
Prosper
Flower Mound
Coppell
Eastwood, EP Americas, and Plano West are losing so many of their top guys.

Just realized that one of those sub-9:30 guys transferred schools

Since that transfer was a big loss for Flower Mound, I think the 4th team out of that region will be El Paso Franklin instead of Flower Mound. They had only 1 senior on varsity last year.
They return the following 3200 times:
9:24
9:41
9:43
10:01
They just need a #5.
I’m sure there will someone who can pull that off. They return 3 more guys that ran in the region meet.

Boys south rankings on Tully runners.

Jesuit New Orleans LA 45 South

Southlake Carroll TX 50 South

Atascocita TX 115 South

The Woodlands TX 120 South

Flower Mound TX 130 South

Prosper TX 140 South

Fayetteville AR 160 South

Har-Ber AR 165 South Bentonville AR 170 South

no Coppell to be found

girls rankings

Lucas Lovejoy TX 65 South

Flower Mound TX 65 South

Southlake Carroll TX 75 South

Colleyville Heritage TX 95 South

The Woodlands TX 105 South

Klein TX 110 South

Bentonville AR 130 South

I think the Woodlands and Atascocita are flip flopped here.

Flower Mound should probably not be in here since one of their guys transferred out

It seems that tully rankings doesn’t consider track performance when creating xc rankings so that may explain why coppell isn’t on there

Houston Strake Jesuit got a good setup.

They return:

Vannerson - 9:01 / 15:03
Demahy - 9:40 / 15:59
Jamison - 9:47 / 16:17
Noe - 10:10 / 15:58 (actually an incoming senior even though he was listed in class of 2022)
Ochoa - 4:30 / 16:55

This is a solid top 5 I’d say.

There might be some underclassmen stepping up too.

Girls:

Flower Mound loaded at top.

Nicole Humphries 4:49/17:39.30
Samantha Humphries 10:23/17:39.98
Alexandra Fox 10:30/17:45.25

Do they have a #4 and 5 to beat Carroll's depth? Senior Abbey Coberly had a good Spring Track (5:17) and should be there solid #4 although slows a little at distance. Unless they have a surprise Freshman there wasn't really anyone else stepping up yet #5-7.

Boys:

Carroll's top 6 from State all returning.

Someone else posted that Flower Mound has an incoming freshman who ran a 5:30 as a 7th grader. Maybe she would be a solid 4 or 5

certainly! I hadn't heard that, but doesn't surprise me. as usual Southlake has some young surprises too. hopefully Flower Mound comes out August 20th for the Southlake 3200 as usual.

Here's what I'm seeing incoming from Flower Mound MS...

Analiese Romero 5:38

Taylor Dowers 9:27 2400

Elle Hall 9:33 2400

Sara Gasca 9:49 2400

Also last year's 7th grade...

Eliana Rivera 9:18 2400

Megan Schmidt 9:26 2400

Funny enough the top 2 Carroll Freshman so far weren't even on the Southlake Middle School radar.

Most those 9th graders listed are going to Marcus not Flower Mound

Team predictions for boys 6A:

1. Southlake Carroll. Won last year. Returns 1-6 and a 9:32 guy who was not on varsity last year. Could be top 10 at nationals or better. Maybe top 5 if all goes well.
2. The Woodlands. Placed second last year and returns 5 guys. They are gonna do big things for an alum who passed away in a car accident. Chance Gibson.
3. Atascocita. Placed 4th last year and returns 5 guys and a 4:31 guy. All will be seniors.
4. Prosper. Returns all scorers after finishing 8th last year.
5. Coppell. Another senior heavy team. Didn’t make state last year (lost to Prosper at regions) and returns a 4:25 1600 average. They didn’t graduate anyone from last year.
6. Houston Strake Jesuit. Placed 10th last year. Returns 4 of their top 5 and another 4:30 guy.
7. Clute Brazoswood. Placed 9th last year and returns 5 of their top 6.
8. Austin Vandegrift. Placed 14th. Returns 4 guys and a 9:43 guy who didn’t run at state. Will be lead by Kevin “8:50” Sanchez.
9. El Paso Franklin. Returns 9:24, 9:42, 9:43, and 10:01 guys. Needs to find a #5.
10. Wylie. Placed 5th last year but loses two important scorers. Returns 5.

Sorry, I need to get familiar with the Lewisville and Flower Mound schools.

If I got it right now then Forestwood Middle School, McKamy Middle School, and Shadow Ridge Middle School feed Flower Mound. Flower Mound freshman will be...

Elle Hall

Next year a few more coming up that are 8th graders this year...

Eliana Rivera

Megan Schmidt

Southlake hosted their track 1600 to open the season. Mostly Southlake runners with a few others from Keller, Coppell etc. Not the fastest conditions 92 degrees and humidity still in the 40'%s.

Boys:

Logan Cantu (12) 4:19 - Southlake's #5 runner last year at State.

Jude Alvarez (11) 4:26

David Fisher (12) 4:27

Zach Troutman (11) 4:27

Jack Litwin (12) 4:28

Alex Severson (10) 4:29

Caden Leonard (9) 4:30

Did not Race...

Hunter Hill (12) - 15:22 last year

Brady Golomb (11) - spring 9:32

Girls:

Alexandra Walsh (11) 5:01 - Southlake's #5 runner last year at State, had big spring!

Sylvia Schwedler (11) 5:04

Ava Bushaw (12) 5:04

Natalie Ng (12) 5:18

Gabriella Tesoriero (10) 5:24

Charlotte Martin (11) 5:24 - was a 5:54 miler a year ago!

Ryann Flores (10) 5:24

Sarayu Veluri (10) 5:31 - was a 6:24 miler 8 months ago, went out in 1:09!

12 girls between 5:32-5:52, including two freshman.

Did not Race...

Ava Bushaw (12) - 17:44