It's on!!!!! Kibiwott Kandie says he will go for 10,000 glory against Cheptegei, Kiplimo and Farah in Tokyo

zcxvczxv wrote:

Mo Farah won gold and silver at the 2011 Worlds, double gold in 2012 at the Olympics, double gold in 2013 Worlds, double gold in 2015 Worlds, double gold in the 2016 Olympics, and gold and silver in the 2017 Worlds. He has shown himself to be in good form in the past year. He figures to be a contender, but surely he cannot stick in a 26:10s or 26:20s race with alternating pacers like Cheptegei, Kiplimo, Rhonex Kipruto, and presumably Kibiwott Kandie. Don't count out Ethiopians like GWet and Kejelcha as well.

highly unlikely it will be a 26:20s race. with that many strong runners, who will actually lead out? 26:40s? i could see that pace

I predict 26:21 for the win.

Farrah doesn’t deserve to be even mentioned in this thread.

Farah*

Farah would figure to be a contender, as in the past, at any race won in 26:45-27:30. To avoid his kick, I can see a very fast pace being set down by the non-kickers in the race, especially Kipruto. But champs haven't gone much under 26:50 before.

Strong competition and Farah is the definite outsider. I can still see him getting on the podium. I don't believe Cheptegei is capable of the perfect pacing he produced with the wavelight. Some of the teams might work together for some of the race but when the medals come into view, they'll start looking out for themselves. This gives Farah a chance, if he has any 10k form (we still don't know, he hasn't raced 5k or 10k on the track for 3 years). I expect a race between 26:45 and 26:55 which might suit Farah, Kandie, or Kiplimo

briswiss wrote:

Farrah doesn’t deserve to be even mentioned in this thread.

Farrah needs more love.. where's your gold medal?

Who is Farrah? You've mentioned him twice.

This is Jim Kiler wrote:

the Olympics aren't happening.

This.

who?

Used to watch Mo run at the “shell” in Madison. Dude could fly. Other badgers had better NCAA careers but I think he is the most talented guy to ever come through.

runderun wrote:

Strong competition and Farah is the definite outsider. I can still see him getting on the podium. I don't believe Cheptegei is capable of the perfect pacing he produced with the wavelight. Some of the teams might work together for some of the race but when the medals come into view, they'll start looking out for themselves. This gives Farah a chance, if he has any 10k form (we still don't know, he hasn't raced 5k or 10k on the track for 3 years). I expect a race between 26:45 and 26:55 which might suit Farah, Kandie, or Kiplimo

Does Farah need a qualifying time or a top 3 finish at the GB trials? We may see what shape he is in.

Aussiestatman wrote:

When he ran 58.54 for second at the World half last year, he was in a pack at 10k a n 28.23. You would suppose he could go much quicker over 25 laps of a track.

Let's simplify this. Just assume from logic that Kandie's current capacity on track should be very similar to Kiplimo's capacity. Why? Because those two have had several epic battles neck to neck on both roads and cross country and different distances over the last years.

I think IF he shows up on the day, Rudyard for the win with Cheptegei making a noble effort from the front but getting outkicked down the stretch.

Huh. I feel this thread has written off Cheptegei in favor of Kiplimo et all too soon. I still think Chpetegei is king. I guess we'll see.

Too tough to call. I can confidently predict that Farah will lose by 200 meters though.

Assuming everyone is at full strength, I think Kejelcha remains the biggest threat to Cheptegei, followed by Kiplimo and then Kipruto.

westsouthrunner wrote:

Coach of high guys wrote:

His PR is 30 seconds slower and 10 years old. He will lose by at least 200 meters.

So if he is there with 1 lap to go will you still think that? I would say he is a medal contender somehow. I am done doubting him even though he has never been my favorite runner

My way way too early predictions

In a tactical race - provided keljecha can return to that salazar shape.

Keljecha

Kiplimo

Mo

Cheptegei

Kipruto

otherwise Kiplimo ftw for sure

In a more all out style effort

Kiplimo

Kipruto

Cheptegei

Keljecha

Mo

*Kejelcha

runderun wrote:

Strong competition and Farah is the definite outsider. I can still see him getting on the podium. I don't believe Cheptegei is capable of the perfect pacing he produced with the wavelight. Some of the teams might work together for some of the race but when the medals come into view, they'll start looking out for themselves. This gives Farah a chance, if he has any 10k form (we still don't know, he hasn't raced 5k or 10k on the track for 3 years). I expect a race between 26:45 and 26:55 which might suit Farah, Kandie, or Kiplimo

Do you think athletes like Andamlak Belihu, Bedan Karoki, and Richard Yator are more chance of challenging for third than Kandie. They have track experience even if a few seconds behind the main contenders. Remember now that all the current men are 37+sec behind Cheptegei, unless Bekele drops back: which will be a no.